Lol · resolved market
LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe Academy vs RAYN Clocks - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef319cd2a944f9f7a5de9a21a288771d814ebfea4cd729600abba344f7009b4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RAYN Clocksof DetonatioN FocusMe Academy, RAYN Clocks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,460
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,460 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 7 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked RAYN Clocks | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked DetonatioN FocusMe Academy | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed DetonatioN FocusMe Academy | 55c | 250.9$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 698 | 41.8%292 W · 406 L | +46.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed RAYN Clocks | 45c | 250.9$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 753 | 42.5%320 W · 433 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…ed19backed DetonatioN FocusMe Academy | 41c | 169.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…b654backed RAYN Clocks | 59c | 88.83$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…f2e3backed RAYN Clocks | 59c | 80.8$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe Academy vs RAYN Clocks - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe Academy vs RAYN Clocks (BO3) - LJL Regular SeasonRAYN Clocks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.