Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. UC Davis Aggies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcea3741426f42cd204e1fa7a31dee22366bd1877e2a2cb4f2995959a286d6868
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawaii Rainbow Warriorsof Hawaii Rainbow Warriors, UC Davis Aggies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,568
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,623
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,568 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x617b…a499backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 53c | 6,933$3,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,258.59 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked UC Davis Aggies | 5c | 6,386$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.38 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked UC Davis Aggies | 47c | 3,033$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.51 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked UC Davis Aggies | 46c | 1,862$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.28 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed UC Davis Aggies | 2c | 1,707$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UC Davis Aggies | 9c | 1,340$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.19 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed UC Davis Aggies | 39c | 1,092$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.13 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 76c | 766.47$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.8 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked UC Davis Aggies | 24c | 689.57$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.5 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed UC Davis Aggies | 45c | 512.79$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.76 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b54…d382backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 56c | 451.43$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.63 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed UC Davis Aggies | 46c | 380.96$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.24 | 219 | 37.4%82 W · 137 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked UC Davis Aggies | 28c | 378.21$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.01 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked UC Davis Aggies | 45c | 300.13$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.26 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 53c | 232.19$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.88 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked UC Davis Aggies | 55c | 217.38$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.96 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…87bdbacked UC Davis Aggies | 47c | 212.19$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed UC Davis Aggies | 44c | 205.35$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.14 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked UC Davis Aggies | 45c | 199.96$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.98 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked UC Davis Aggies | 23c | 164.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 252 | 46.4%117 W · 135 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked UC Davis Aggies | 28c | 150.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed UC Davis Aggies | 8c | 127.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed UC Davis Aggies | 8c | 127.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked UC Davis Aggies | 46c | 105.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed UC Davis Aggies | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 54c | 93.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 54c | 83.04$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.21 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 54c | 76.44$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 52c | 66.02$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed UC Davis Aggies | 26c | 52.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 55c | 45.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed UC Davis Aggies | 48c | 43.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…2e74backed UC Davis Aggies | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 51c | 39.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…9aadbacked UC Davis Aggies | 46c | 38.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370c…3eb1backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 58c | 32.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked UC Davis Aggies | 42c | 31.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked UC Davis Aggies | 47c | 30.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked UC Davis Aggies | 48c | 29.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed UC Davis Aggies | 39c | 29.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 54c | 24.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 55c | 23.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ada…b8a0backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 51c | 19.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. UC Davis Aggiesthis page
- Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. UC Davis Aggies: O/U 150.5Under won
- Spread: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-1.5)Hawaii Rainbow Warriors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.