Premier League · resolved market
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe849f2b83044b4fc721222293ac33fca8a5f59c4180ba92a5364a8f6050300ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,728 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 27c | 1,032$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.48 | 114 | 30.7%35 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 14c | 1,000$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 157 | 35.7%56 W · 101 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed No | 76c | 785$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 78c | 776.15$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.34 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 75c | 537.1$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.83 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…f0babacked Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 27c | 500$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b3…982ebacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 80c | 479$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.95 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 66c | 453.18$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.62 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 21c | 384.39$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.24 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 315.85$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.43 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 272.7$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.53 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 24c | 250$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 24c | 250$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 24c | 189.66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.14 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 25c | 159.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.87 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 26c | 149.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.59 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 22c | 136.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.57 | 77 | 18.2%14 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 73c | 110.25$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.77 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1460…b5bbbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Yes | 17c | 78.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.35 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 24c | 45.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.46 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 71c | 37.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Yes | 79c | 30.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed No | 73c | 13.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-03-07?No won
- Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. Birmingham City FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.