Premier League · resolved market
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fc603ac8bfee968dc8dc436eb50628115d68a2b256bf7b831879a60aebb1e2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,708
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,708 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 47c | 1,714$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.44 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 1,637$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.3 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 47c | 1,096$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 39c | 766.45$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.94 | 114 | 30.7%35 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 47c | 759.23$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.84 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 68c | 742.63$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.04 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 46c | 679.79$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.84 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 73c | 577$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.81 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 47c | 512.83$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.65 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 52c | 272.7$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.99 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 72c | 182.32$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.05 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Yes | 6c | 172$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 48c | 160$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf07…5129backed Yes | 48c | 143.75$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0d…2044backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 289 | 50.9%147 W · 142 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 52c | 95.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.64 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Yes | 48c | 90.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.24 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 47c | 84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca5d…ec76backed Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked No | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 46c | 39.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 296 | 44.6%132 W · 164 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 36c | 27.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 55c | 22.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed No | 72c | 13.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. Birmingham City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-03-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.