Premier League · resolved market
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-02-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19108751ac098c8a0a942d4f5d98e0e8681d887bd383a93f2a38a50c91c3ef61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,174
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,410
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,174 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 5,311$3,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.26 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 39c | 2,299$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.3 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa569…08dfbacked Yes | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.98 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +11.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 62c | 1,548$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.84 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 24c | 1,008$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.6 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 41c | 616.15$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 176 | 34.1%60 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 31c | 517.67$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.33 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…8e46backed Yes | 38c | 499.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 60c | 442.62$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.14 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…eab4backed Yes | 37c | 402.61$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 27c | 373.89$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.95 | 285 | 31.2%89 W · 196 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed No | 62c | 299.99$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.3 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 38c | 277$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.26 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 61c | 261.34$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.8 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 39c | 257.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.12 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62aa…94febacked Yes | 38c | 250.68$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.26 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 38c | 237.39$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.21 | 200 | 27%54 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 61c | 235.42$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.81 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed No | 64c | 219.03$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.77 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed No | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 60c | 179.71$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.88 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed No | 63c | 165.1$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.71 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 62c | 165$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd87…30a6backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1460…b5bbbacked Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 37c | 130$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 98 | 40.8%40 W · 58 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 61c | 124.97$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.62 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2c…f012backed Yes | 33c | 122.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 34c | 119$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 34c | 115$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.65 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 74c | 106.52$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 38c | 100.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 39c | 100.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa82a…7dcfbacked No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 35c | 98.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 296 | 44.6%132 W · 164 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 38c | 96.56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.69 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 24c | 94.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 33c | 88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 250 | 52%130 W · 120 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a50…09f4backed No | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed No | 68c | 76.05$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ad…3cdbbacked Yes | 39c | 66.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 61c | 65.58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…2aabbacked Yes | 38c | 60.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 45cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 40c | 53.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…2b47backed Yes | 37c | 46.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…a4abbacked Yes | 39c | 46.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 61c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 61c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed No | 62c | 41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…2e72backed Yes | 30c | 39.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 59c | 39.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd258…9dfdbacked Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -17.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a6…1961backed No | 62c | 35.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 62c | 35.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 63c | 27.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…aea9backed No | 64c | 26.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked No | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked No | 63c | 22.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 68c | 20.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 68c | 19.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…8cffbacked No | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +5.8wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +55%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-02-27?this page
- Will Bristol City FC vs. Watford FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Watford FC win on 2026-02-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.