Premier League · resolved market
Will Watford FC win on 2026-02-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76d43a139614fc24b7822f51633d5ea5883478c4d48d1d46ee1b4fd5106c9074
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,891
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,816
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,891 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 8c | 2,400$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.79 | 157 | 35.7%56 W · 101 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 70c | 1,593$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.99 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 66c | 1,057$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.73 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 34c | 976.96$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.88 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 24c | 838.5$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.26 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 64c | 421.02$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.47 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 34c | 313.84$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.14 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62c…0d36backed Yes | 35c | 298.87$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 23c | 157.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked No | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed Yes | 20c | 127.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.9 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…6f21backed Yes | 80c | 123.13$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 32c | 90$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.96 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 32c | 85.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.21 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 34c | 81.81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.25 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 17c | 81.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 42c | 81.42$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.87 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +48%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed No | 72c | 51.77$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba3…c7f1backed Yes | 80c | 50.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…2aabbacked Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x995a…423bbacked Yes | 78c | 49.18$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9c…5a62backed Yes | 35c | 45.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.72 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 34c | 39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 80c | 31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 220 | 40.5%89 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 73c | 25.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 71c | 22.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 250 | 52%130 W · 120 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 68c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked No | 80c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Watford FC win on 2026-02-27?this page
- Will Bristol City FC vs. Watford FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-02-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.