Mls · resolved market
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-02-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50882d17521e77f88d2825774109e1fc5d8efe1d86ac35959563b96fa62af711
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,672
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,672 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 66c | 3,542$2,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.15 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…a9e9backed Yes | 34c | 2,941$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 2,889$2,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.49 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Yes | 35c | 2,460$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Yes | 35c | 2,300$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked No | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.99 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 31c | 1,933$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.57 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdaf…e58fbacked No | 69c | 1,262$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.99 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 18c | 1,249$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.26 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 65c | 1,108$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.63 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 33c | 998.63$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.15 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 68c | 664.02$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.49 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 65c | 642.7$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.54 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed Yes | 35c | 570.62$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Yes | 34c | 290.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 66c | 242.01$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.83 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 66c | 239$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.26 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 31c | 235$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.66 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 65c | 211$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -14.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed No | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 31c | 146.9$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.66 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 34c | 127.27$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.77 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 84.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 33c | 66.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 35c | 55.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 67c | 54.55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 30c | 49.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1460…b5bbbacked Yes | 34c | 47.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes | 35c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 66c | 37.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed No | 76c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…2e45backed No | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c82…dca9backed No | 67c | 15.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-02-21?this page
- Will St. Louis City SC vs. Charlotte FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-02-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.