Champions League · resolved market
Will SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f7fec7ca5a56a98a08a4ec408552e469ba26056b0893ea4e3b960c59652243e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 5c | 13,894$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.17 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 6c | 8,200$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,707.92 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 25c | 5,485$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,090.08 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 67c | 2,060$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.25 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 80c | 1,650$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.7 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 80c | 1,434$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.66 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 11c | 1,343$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.06 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Yes | 15c | 1,078$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.51 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 79c | 999.99$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.99 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed No | 79c | 752.99$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.86 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 37c | 680.16$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.28 | 440 | 33.9%149 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 53c | 622.61$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.17 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa597…79d7backed Yes | 67c | 526.32$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.32 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked No | 30c | 512.53$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.66 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 40c | 373.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.97 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 37c | 322.76$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.51 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 21c | 265.29$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.58 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 80c | 256$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.8 | 299 | 49.5%148 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 63c | 242.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.7 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 79c | 240$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.6 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 79c | 240$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.6 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 79c | 240$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.6 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 79c | 222$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.38 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 79c | 200$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Yes | 67c | 171.12$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.82 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +44%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Yes | 33c | 169.6$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.03 | 142 | 38%54 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8c…2799backed Yes | 69c | 145.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.65 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed No | 78c | 135$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.9 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 80c | 118.1$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 272 | 36.4%99 W · 173 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 33c | 113.3$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 382 | 53.9%206 W · 176 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 29c | 111$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.61 | 147 | 36.1%53 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 80c | 110$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.45 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Yes | 15c | 107.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.14 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe3…1f2abacked Yes | 71c | 87.53$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 80c | 82.42$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.94 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d7…fcbbbacked Yes | 53c | 78.61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.28 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 79c | 69.44$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.86 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 79c | 68.29$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Yes | 74c | 67.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 71c | 58.85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e7…6716backed Yes | 70c | 57.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76c2…a675backed Yes | 21c | 55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f53…5e9fbacked Yes | 66c | 53.08$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 80c | 50.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 290 | 34.5%100 W · 190 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 64c | 45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 59c | 39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 33c | 37.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ec…81bebacked No | 38c | 37.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 77c | 35.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked No | 73c | 27.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd2…4f62backed Yes | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 58c | 25.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f6…6ccabacked Yes | 67c | 22.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 66c | 21.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed No | 79c | 12.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Flora win on 2026-07-14?No won
- Will SK Iberia 1999 win on 2026-07-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.