Premier League · resolved market
Swansea City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd376ab745b2f63097b532cd62e2a609a97eb4f4ef4cf27478fd2006302ac3c9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,730
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,730 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 31c | 11,338$3,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,557.99 | 755 | 42.3%319 W · 436 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Over | 69c | 10,388$7,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,220.28 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 32c | 1,031$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.43 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 66c | 1,000$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338 | 144 | 63.9%92 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 68c | 926.47$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 35c | 867.94$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.94 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 56c | 820.34$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.95 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Over | 32c | 774.47$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.64 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 72c | 722.29$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.29 | 171 | 61.4%105 W · 66 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked Under | 69c | 721.89$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…083dbacked Over | 57c | 523.75$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.03 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Over | 60c | 420$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…860fbacked Over | 65c | 395.46$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 66c | 378$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.48 | 133 | 27.1%36 W · 97 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 34c | 367.91$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 73c | 365.86$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.78 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 339.67$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.61 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…5854backed Over | 62c | 334.99$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.7 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 23c | 319.73$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.74 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Over | 29c | 300$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…f694backed Over | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Under | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 34c | 245.39$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.34 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 67c | 209.63$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.58 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 42c | 200.16$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.37 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 44c | 181.63$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.1 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Under | 71c | 177$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.67 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +152.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 32c | 135.75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.9 | 1,589 | 53.3%847 W · 742 L | +39.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 76c | 130.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…fcd8backed Over | 79c | 128.07$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef8a…7035backed Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 76cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 73c | 123.29$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 353 | 47.6%168 W · 185 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 71c | 123$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.33 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 65c | 109.17$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.98 | 696 | 51.1%356 W · 340 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 31c | 86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90a3…1701backed Over | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked Under | 67c | 75.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 119 | 69.7%83 W · 36 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Under | 38c | 55.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Under | 65c | 54.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf09b…5971backed Under | 34c | 51.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked Over | 30c | 48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 69c | 47.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 39c | 46.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.41 | 1,615 | 34.9%564 W · 1,051 L | -28.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 32c | 41.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.51 | 1,161 | 57.4%666 W · 495 L | +40.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 31c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 33c | 36.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 46c | 34.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 726 | 58.7%426 W · 300 L | +48.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 61c | 34.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a8…daabbacked Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f2…2cb0backed Under | 37c | 32.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Over | 61c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 68c | 23.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 129 | 68.2%88 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa64e…5d27backed Over | 75c | 22.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 73c | 19.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Over | 73c | 18.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…c46abacked Over | 69c | 16.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over | 77c | 14.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.21 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Swansea City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)Swansea City AFC won
- Spread: Swansea City AFC (-1.5)Middlesbrough FC won
- Spread: Swansea City AFC (-2.5)Middlesbrough FC won
- Swansea City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Swansea City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Swansea City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Swansea City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.