TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Swansea City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,161
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,054

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,161 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Over57c15,821$9,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,803.1375542.3%319 W · 436 L+1.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under43c8,684$3,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,733.9113348.9%65 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under43c5,814$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50017557.1%100 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86040953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under10c1,648$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.966,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under47c638.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006852.9%36 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61bb…5854backed Over55c600$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2702356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Over50c510$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25512450.8%63 W · 61 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x40bf…8bdcbacked Over57c419.63$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.44540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e8…b2f0backed Under27c392.18$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under9c314.22$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2839555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under9c314.22$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2828859.7%172 W · 116 L+19.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under9c314.22$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2816753.3%89 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under9c314.22$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2823556.2%132 W · 103 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under9c314.22$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2827552.7%145 W · 130 L-1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under9c314.22$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2813748.9%67 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under9c314.22$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2810655.7%59 W · 47 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under9c280.4$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.249058.9%53 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed Under50c271$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.512744.1%56 W · 71 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under50c239$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.512251.6%63 W · 59 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Under44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over56c223.21$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.2115772%113 W · 44 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa46d…d8e5backed Under43c154.08$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.252055%11 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under44c142.8$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.513347.4%63 W · 70 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over56c137.77$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6280853.6%433 W · 375 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d84…4b14backed Under9c125.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.31425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-57.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9592…67bebacked Over57c118$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.742751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9691…c6e7backed Over56c116.81$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.41637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccb7…0477backed Under44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under43c108.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8769651.1%356 W · 340 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under33c104.72$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.91,92342.4%815 W · 1,108 L-42.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4419145%86 W · 105 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under45c73.56$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.211,58953.3%847 W · 742 L+39.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under45c52.09$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3315849.4%78 W · 80 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.527846.4%129 W · 149 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Over56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2214258.5%83 W · 59 L+12.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa5ad…41dbbacked Under46c48.91$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbea…e77bbacked Under44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-50.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Over55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4518841.5%78 W · 110 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over52c43.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.982,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201,20842.2%510 W · 698 L-27.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under45c39.15$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.771,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1828…9b4ebacked Under49c36.96$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a49…ddf5backed Over52c35.44$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.01250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0920864.9%135 W · 73 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94fe…2da5backed Over52c31.55$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.32100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40d0…434cbacked Under50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45f4…843ebacked Under48c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29e4…6a85backed Under48c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6818…3a1bbacked Under49c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b80…198dbacked Over51c24.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd70…68dfbacked Over53c24.83$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2986…a0d8backed Under49c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ce7…8a8dbacked Under50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8db…aa8ebacked Over51c23.76$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf908…1f3bbacked Over52c23.75$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x447e…e731backed Over51c23.55$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.54250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50b1…4df8backed Over51c23.24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcde…11cfbacked Over51c23.16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.352100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+90.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb47b…94ddbacked Under49c23.06$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc238…68fbbacked Over52c23.03$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a5c…5d3ebacked Under49c23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.27250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa21a…48f2backed Under49c23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe191…64afbacked Under49c23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ef9…97bcbacked Under49c23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf324…289dbacked Over51c22.59$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.073100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x067b…44cdbacked Over51c22.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc46…ac37backed Over51c22.31$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b38…154dbacked Under50c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82bc…c504backed Under49c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.78250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb99c…65f5backed Under50c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09eb…c2ddbacked Over51c21.7$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe174…1480backed Over50c21.48$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e4d…bf94backed Over51c21.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f2…f294backed Over51c21.2$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x143b…a6f6backed Over51c21.07$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf96b…adcbbacked Under49c21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4316…d96ebacked Under49c21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.29250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92c4…4efcbacked Under49c21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd010…8c7fbacked Under48c21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e90…a742backed Under49c21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbadf…3a81backed Over51c20.91$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6b7…2c83backed Over52c20.76$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15c0…7629backed Over52c20.36$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d24…4536backed Over50c20.28$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e24…499cbacked Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e3d…5ad5backed Over51c19.69$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.65250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eeb…3c13backed Over52c19.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over71c14.9$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.321,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.