CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e419c3788af21bb395800e61d946fa39deae3ee7d1dccf19901ee466115a597
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,002
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,704
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,002 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0afa…eff3backed Under | 8c | 13,005$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1a…0208backed Under | 6c | 12,537$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…dd86backed Under | 0c | 10,273$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Under | 17c | 8,044$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.32 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…0998backed Under | 9c | 4,154$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.24 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 22cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed Under | 10c | 3,700$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.7 | 323 | 46.1%149 W · 174 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Under | 16c | 3,022$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.08 | 293 | 40.6%119 W · 174 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 8c | 2,011$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.73 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8087backed Under | 18c | 1,556$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.26 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -64%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d55…7cbabacked Under | 2c | 1,300$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed Under | 9c | 1,173$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.74 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa486…25d4backed Under | 9c | 1,160$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.14 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +158%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b79…2618backed Under | 12c | 1,129$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x314e…af4ebacked Under | 12c | 1,020$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…f694backed Under | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…788bbacked Under | 20c | 800$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.4 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Under | 14c | 414$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2015…9678backed Under | 13c | 307.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.74 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 15c | 280.29$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.98 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b37…ca6fbacked Under | 8c | 211.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4e…21bfbacked Under | 9c | 185.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fed…a1f9backed Under | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c4…9c42backed Under | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +130.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 65c | 75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs Clutchain (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe PlayoffsXI Esport won
- Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs Clutchain - Map 1 WinnerClutchain won
- Map Handicap: CC (-1.5) vs XI Esport (+1.5)XI Esport won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.