CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs The Last Resort - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88a946b27f8ad5e9aab3c83a6130d253c68145f552f36e1649eb7650b48867f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- The Last Resortof QUAZAR, The Last Resort
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $142,263
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $178,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,263 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a9c…c8cfbacked QUAZAR | 8c | 28,820$2,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,169.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked The Last Resort | 32c | 23,506$7,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,039.48 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…56e3backed The Last Resort | 67c | 17,569$11,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,815.04 | 247 | 46.2%114 W · 133 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed QUAZAR | 54c | 14,622$7,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,941.43 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked The Last Resort | 36c | 11,926$4,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,576.73 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed The Last Resort | 44c | 4,731$2,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,642.49 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked QUAZAR | 76c | 3,309$2,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,518.66 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…f694backed The Last Resort | 48c | 3,044$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.81 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb03…1a23backed The Last Resort | 33c | 2,868$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +166%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked QUAZAR | 64c | 2,542$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.92 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed The Last Resort | 16c | 1,569$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.86 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed The Last Resort | 7c | 1,200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116 | 323 | 46.1%149 W · 174 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed QUAZAR | 32c | 809.38$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.8 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed QUAZAR | 65c | 738.09$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.21 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked QUAZAR | 80c | 725.45$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.05 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed QUAZAR | 46c | 672$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.11 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…3ff8backed The Last Resort | 24c | 649.99$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.08 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed QUAZAR | 79c | 644.47$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.73 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac5f…cd03backed QUAZAR | 2c | 550$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked The Last Resort | 39c | 543.81$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.63 | 304 | 50.7%154 W · 150 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8087backed The Last Resort | 74c | 475.92$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.9 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -64%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3f…d042backed QUAZAR | 67c | 444.69$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked QUAZAR | 78c | 398.52$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.38 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked QUAZAR | 23c | 300.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.28 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked QUAZAR | 73c | 285.03$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed The Last Resort | 32c | 216$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.7 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed The Last Resort | 37c | 204.86$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.23 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed QUAZAR | 14c | 201$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…0998backed The Last Resort | 17c | 199.15$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.2 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 22cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked The Last Resort | 29c | 183.45$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.25 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed The Last Resort | 24c | 173.84$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.69 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed QUAZAR | 73c | 159$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.69 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…305cbacked The Last Resort | 22c | 148.69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.31 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked QUAZAR | 75c | 146.97$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.61 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ae…84d8backed QUAZAR | 55c | 146$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.22 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked The Last Resort | 26c | 143.08$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.54 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked The Last Resort | 20c | 120.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.28 | 655 | 48.9%320 W · 335 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed The Last Resort | 35c | 113.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked The Last Resort | 29c | 103.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked The Last Resort | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.9 | 306 | 39.5%121 W · 185 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…aedebacked QUAZAR | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 193 | 57%110 W · 83 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked The Last Resort | 49c | 82.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked QUAZAR | 38c | 78.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…95b3backed QUAZAR | 33c | 78.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 138 | 71%98 W · 40 L | +15.7wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked QUAZAR | 72c | 67.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed QUAZAR | 66c | 62.01$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked The Last Resort | 57c | 62$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed The Last Resort | 34c | 53.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed QUAZAR | 74c | 52$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 270 | 37.8%102 W · 168 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked QUAZAR | 73c | 49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde0…20bfbacked The Last Resort | 25c | 47.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked The Last Resort | 32c | 44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked The Last Resort | 27c | 41.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf990…88bcbacked QUAZAR | 40c | 38.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…1eb3backed The Last Resort | 39c | 38.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +153%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed QUAZAR | 70c | 37.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed QUAZAR | 33c | 36.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 287 | 61.3%176 W · 111 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed QUAZAR | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…e9cebacked QUAZAR | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 184 | 81.5%150 W · 34 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc55b…b164backed QUAZAR | 78c | 28.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab1…638bbacked QUAZAR | 61c | 21.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed QUAZAR | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs The Last Resort - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs The Last Resort (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group BThe Last Resort won
- Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs The Last Resort - Map 2 WinnerThe Last Resort won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.