Fifa International · resolved market
DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57b0383bcd3354dc4287e8f72122cacc7b3f1fa0e13111b0fd939fc6ff3fcebb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,256
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,256 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Over | 52c | 4,035$2,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917.3 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 10c | 2,076$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.36 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d79…33e4backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 15c | 1,941$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.94 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…f694backed Under | 10c | 1,810$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 12c | 1,435$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.31 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Under | 12c | 983.91$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.07 | 304 | 31.3%95 W · 209 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Under | 8c | 846.88$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.75 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 8c | 777.84$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.23 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Over | 66c | 599.99$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 23c | 583.33$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 554.39$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.29 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62d6…54e8backed Under | 21c | 415$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.85 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 32c | 409.44$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.02 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004c…ab0cbacked Over | 73c | 399.99$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 111 | 70.3%78 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Under | 14c | 397.62$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.77 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Under | 23c | 390$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.4 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 27c | 294.7$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.48 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 145 | 68.3%99 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 28c | 214.9$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.12 | 260 | 47.3%123 W · 137 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 68c | 190.63$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 245 | 55.1%135 W · 110 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…c691backed Over | 68c | 147.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.17 | 87 | 73.6%64 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Under | 8c | 144$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Under | 21c | 141.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Over | 68c | 126.47$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.47 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8a…7a39backed Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 33 | 90.9%30 W · 3 L | +6.6wins | +0.20per pick | 71cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 10c | 118.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 13c | 101.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 351 | 50.7%178 W · 173 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Under | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 283 | 26.5%75 W · 208 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…fdbebacked Over | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8e…0404backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Over | 67c | 99.98$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 34c | 88.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…a10ebacked Under | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Under | 53c | 35.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb980…73b0backed Over | 47c | 35.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +7.7wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf647…0ccbbacked Over | 74c | 29.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 130 | 61.5%80 W · 50 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 73c | 23.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 0.5this page
- DR Congo vs. Chile: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 1.5Over won
- DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 2.5Over won
- DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 3.5Under won
- DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 4.5Under won
- DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Chile (-1.5)DR Congo won
- Spread: Chile (-2.5)DR Congo won
- Spread: DR Congo (-1.5)Chile won
- Spread: DR Congo (-2.5)Chile won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.