Fifa International · resolved market
DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78e99684d812de39885a0c23a68477c701bfe58bf1d771f9e980974278dcd16c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,639
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,639 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Over | 1c | 3,615$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.15 | 213 | 14.1%30 W · 183 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +135.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 58c | 2,510$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.17 | 233 | 63.5%148 W · 85 L | +19.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x630d…875abacked Over | 2c | 1,827$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked Over | 2c | 1,606$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +34.7wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +61%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Over | 2c | 1,606$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +19.7wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Over | 2c | 1,606$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +26.4wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…a596backed Under | 72c | 1,399$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.12 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed Over | 22c | 1,245$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.19 | 437 | 37.8%165 W · 272 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 15c | 1,200$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 15c | 1,071$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.71 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…4c80backed Under | 17c | 903.61$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | +20.7wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6641…fccdbacked Under | 40c | 865.46$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.86 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.3wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…3776backed Under | 14c | 839.95$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.64 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Under | 18c | 833$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.06 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +25.9wins | +0.19per pick | 33cpaid | +129%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Under | 74c | 824.2$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.48 | 388 | 19.1%74 W · 314 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 17c | 617.43$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.98 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…3c50backed Under | 80c | 518.47$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 65c | 281.5$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.98 | 258 | 65.9%170 W · 88 L | +40.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x06de…cf4cbacked Over | 62c | 151.95$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.45 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 66c | 150.7$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.46 | 289 | 64.4%186 W · 103 L | +42.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Over | 45c | 146.71$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 65c | 144.6$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.99 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Over | 10c | 133$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 348 | 45.1%157 W · 191 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Over | 18c | 112.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 20c | 111.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 18c | 104.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 19c | 91.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…b949backed Over | 16c | 75.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Over | 29c | 67.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Under | 80c | 61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 200 | 53%106 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 19c | 58.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 237 | 32.1%76 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 3.5this page
- DR Congo vs. Chile: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 0.5Over won
- DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 1.5Over won
- DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 2.5Over won
- DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 4.5Under won
- DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Chile (-1.5)DR Congo won
- Spread: Chile (-2.5)DR Congo won
- Spread: DR Congo (-1.5)Chile won
- Spread: DR Congo (-2.5)Chile won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.