Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: DR Congo (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bef3aec3da737f34396b93cf6661980cb2ff68b576fe79f87cfe38dada900c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chileof DR Congo, Chile
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,996
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,996 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked DR Congo | 19c | 2,119$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d79…33e4backed DR Congo | 47c | 1,975$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.95 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Chile | 54c | 286.08$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.54 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0705…c0febacked DR Congo | 18c | 276$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c6…beb4backed Chile | 52c | 192$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed DR Congo | 48c | 184.98$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.79 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed Chile | 19c | 130$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.3 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | +18.5wins | +0.20per pick | 28cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Chile | 39c | 112.63$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.38 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed DR Congo | 35c | 107.13$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Chile | 27c | 102.13$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.55 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +31.0wins | +0.24per pick | 35cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Chile | 64c | 102.13$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 389 | 60.7%236 W · 153 L | +24.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3089…92f6backed Chile | 52c | 97.39$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.75 | 178 | 28.1%50 W · 128 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6f…be6fbacked Chile | 80c | 96$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked DR Congo | 15c | 81.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Chile | 18c | 79.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.4 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb48…6ad1backed DR Congo | 25c | 79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +284.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed DR Congo | 20c | 69.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 266 | 31.2%83 W · 183 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Chile | 80c | 58.35$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 351 | 50.7%178 W · 173 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f8…95f5backed Chile | 80c | 48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Chile | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Chile | 75c | 39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 379 | 50.1%190 W · 189 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: DR Congo (-1.5)this page
- DR Congo vs. Chile: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 0.5Over won
- DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 1.5Over won
- DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 2.5Over won
- DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 3.5Under won
- DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 4.5Under won
- DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Chile (-1.5)DR Congo won
- Spread: Chile (-2.5)DR Congo won
- Spread: DR Congo (-2.5)Chile won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.