Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: DR Congo (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2649c01976c0236981e6df36842b4f4876498e31b122184273dc3957ca8c1e72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chileof DR Congo, Chile
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,028
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,218
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,028 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Chile | 52c | 3,202$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.58 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9709…52abbacked DR Congo | 48c | 2,300$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104 | 192 | 47.9%92 W · 100 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed DR Congo | 5c | 1,292$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.58 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…7349backed DR Congo | 6c | 983$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x073f…7618backed DR Congo | 5c | 972$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +208.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x634d…8c38backed DR Congo | 5c | 960$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb8…a6eebacked DR Congo | 5c | 960$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2922…b3cebacked DR Congo | 5c | 956$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4055…1713backed DR Congo | 5c | 953$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ab…8ef7backed DR Congo | 5c | 950$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a94…34c7backed DR Congo | 5c | 932$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 23cpaid | +209.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…d92abacked DR Congo | 5c | 929$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…5e80backed DR Congo | 5c | 926$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d79…33e4backed DR Congo | 44c | 900$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed DR Congo | 5c | 433.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked DR Congo | 5c | 241.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: DR Congo (-2.5)this page
- DR Congo vs. Chile: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 0.5Over won
- DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 1.5Over won
- DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 2.5Over won
- DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 3.5Under won
- DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 4.5Under won
- DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Chile (-1.5)DR Congo won
- Spread: Chile (-2.5)DR Congo won
- Spread: DR Congo (-1.5)Chile won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.