CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: STATE vs Bebop - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf11c56b92b0d0ec20f4fec2e62c35d25a805632c0ffdc187856a573f4ab15315
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bebopof STATE, Bebop
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,086
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,086 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed STATE | 50c | 1,875$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.44 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059e…54d1backed STATE | 50c | 1,397$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.46 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Bebop | 49c | 1,212$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.74 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Bebop | 50c | 1,111$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.79 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Bebop | 61c | 969.52$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.43 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Bebop | 53c | 643.73$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.21 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Bebop | 48c | 638.15$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.55 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Bebop | 45c | 599.97$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.98 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Bebop | 51c | 425.34$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.81 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed STATE | 44c | 403.45$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.13 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked STATE | 29c | 400.33$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.74 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Bebop | 32c | 351$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.68 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed STATE | 23c | 350$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked STATE | 61c | 320.46$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.52 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed STATE | 49c | 304.48$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.19 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Bebop | 52c | 296.49$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.11 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed STATE | 60c | 296.07$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.98 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked STATE | 49c | 280.58$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.18 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked STATE | 32c | 247.74$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.41 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5b…0e61backed STATE | 45c | 238.94$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf8…1e82backed STATE | 40c | 229.33$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.73 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed STATE | 60c | 216.66$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bebop | 50c | 194.01$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.19 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bebop | 51c | 149.6$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.87 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked STATE | 30c | 145$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked STATE | 45c | 140.97$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.87 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed STATE | 46c | 140$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.52 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Bebop | 20c | 138.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.89 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a2…920cbacked STATE | 76c | 129.36$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.92 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Bebop | 40c | 112.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.79 | 227 | 54.2%123 W · 104 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…1fa5backed STATE | 78c | 112.59$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Bebop | 47c | 108.36$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.78 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c06…b98abacked Bebop | 48c | 102.61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.36 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…4cc4backed STATE | 67c | 100.15$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Bebop | 27c | 99.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.46 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed STATE | 49c | 98.52$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked STATE | 51c | 91.81$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed STATE | 49c | 70.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed STATE | 17c | 69.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed STATE | 70c | 64.13$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.18 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed STATE | 31c | 58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | -9.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5639…90fbbacked STATE | 44c | 56.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed STATE | 46c | 53.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed STATE | 54c | 52.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed STATE | 58c | 51.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…2d98backed Bebop | 60c | 51.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Bebop | 41c | 50.26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Bebop | 50c | 49.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked STATE | 49c | 49.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5c…9edabacked Bebop | 63c | 46.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 60 | 71.7%43 W · 17 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Bebop | 46c | 42.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 69 | 68.1%47 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed STATE | 46c | 42.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked STATE | 47c | 38.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x015d…7bc7backed Bebop | 53c | 37.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Bebop | 43c | 35.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Bebop | 49c | 30.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Bebop | 49c | 30.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…1931backed STATE | 70c | 28.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked STATE | 66c | 26.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked STATE | 58c | 22.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs Bebop - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group StageSTATE won
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs Bebop - Map 1 WinnerSTATE won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.