Serie A · resolved market
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-04-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x508081a87feeeaade5e3d130e7383375464afc8cbf73d16e18b44efe823d5779
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $593,546
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $733,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $593,546 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 3c | 130,861$4,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,436.36 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 10c | 115,051$11,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,329.73 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 9c | 31,177$2,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,805.97 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Yes | 9c | 11,152$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.64 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Yes | 9c | 10,695$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.55 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 9c | 7,900$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.04 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 9c | 4,461$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.45 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 9c | 4,461$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.45 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed Yes | 9c | 4,451$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.56 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 9c | 4,348$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.29 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 9c | 4,345$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.08 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 5c | 3,157$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.7 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 2c | 2,595$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.69 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x840d…3708backed Yes | 10c | 2,492$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.17 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 9c | 2,076$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.85 | 141 | 59.6%84 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 9c | 1,383$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.45 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 9c | 1,186$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.72 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…5415backed Yes | 9c | 1,050$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 9c | 1,044$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.99 | 146 | 51.4%75 W · 71 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x876d…1327backed Yes | 9c | 614.7$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b2…df00backed Yes | 9c | 522.49$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…1e89backed Yes | 9c | 450.66$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -65%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 8c | 430.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +85%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd15…940dbacked Yes | 8c | 381$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Yes | 9c | 323.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Yes | 9c | 315.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Yes | 9c | 315.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Yes | 10c | 283.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a132backed Yes | 9c | 252.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes | 9c | 210.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 9c | 210.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 103 | 58.3%60 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62b8…a9aebacked Yes | 9c | 210.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes | 8c | 197.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 9c | 188.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 76 | 65.8%50 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 10c | 188.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 9c | 176.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 6c | 169.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…ea51backed Yes | 9c | 157.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Yes | 9c | 141.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 9c | 139.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b5…b692backed Yes | 9c | 131.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…3b52backed Yes | 9c | 118.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Yes | 10c | 111.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Cremonese win on 2026-04-24?this page
- Will SSC Napoli vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?No won
- Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-24?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.