Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05a098bf9a11f0ca7af62023f9642e3ce7ff8e3ec38f413c6f142006da43d07e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,494
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,494 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8627…5382backed Over | 43c | 7,269$3,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,122.44 | 223 | 55.2%123 W · 100 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 57c | 2,917$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.1 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -13.6wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Under | 56c | 1,857$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 437 | 39.8%174 W · 263 L | -23.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 77c | 1,829$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.08 | 386 | 40.4%156 W · 230 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Over | 43c | 1,500$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Under | 57c | 1,250$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.11 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 58c | 1,024$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.92 | 227 | 48%109 W · 118 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Over | 41c | 966.57$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.28 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Under | 61c | 879.17$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.29 | 621 | 51.4%319 W · 302 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Over | 39c | 845.55$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.79 | 2,152 | 53.3%1,147 W · 1,005 L | +58.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Under | 57c | 828.87$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.82 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee0e…38bbbacked Under | 59c | 674.51$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 760 | 47%357 W · 403 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Over | 41c | 555.56$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.56 | 188 | 41%77 W · 111 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 58c | 502.6$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.58 | 245 | 43.3%106 W · 139 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 41c | 500.62$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.96 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7e…cbbdbacked Over | 50c | 500.34$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.34 | 116 | 59.5%69 W · 47 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 488 | 47.3%231 W · 257 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 55c | 495.17$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.95 | 1,459 | 43.3%632 W · 827 L | -33.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 54c | 470.75$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.07 | 2,923 | 44.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L | -91.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Under | 62c | 459.74$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.04 | 629 | 42.4%267 W · 362 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 63c | 458$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.53 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 69c | 427.56$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.52 | 1,096 | 38.9%426 W · 670 L | -47.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 58c | 366.68$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.98 | 2,497 | 39.9%996 W · 1,501 L | -75.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…84aabacked Under | 61c | 329.98$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.29 | 379 | 50.9%193 W · 186 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Under | 58c | 301$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.58 | 274 | 47.4%130 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 54c | 294.71$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.27 | 1,952 | 30.6%597 W · 1,355 L | -166.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Over | 63c | 270.09$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.05 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6567…c807backed Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 59c | 256.11$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -11.1wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 44c | 239.8$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Over | 38c | 199.97$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.98 | 961 | 49.9%480 W · 481 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 57c | 197.04$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.09 | 396 | 51%202 W · 194 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 44c | 182.9$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.9 | 493 | 46.5%229 W · 264 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 39c | 166.74$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.71 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 39c | 165.57$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 1,587 | 43.8%695 W · 892 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 41c | 155.05$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.64 | 373 | 43.4%162 W · 211 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 61c | 140$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.4 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Under | 56c | 139.09$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.89 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 57c | 136.07$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.56 | 272 | 57%155 W · 117 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 55c | 135.55$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 445 | 38.2%170 W · 275 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…b524backed Over | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 60c | 121.17$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 972 | 54.3%528 W · 444 L | +46.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Under | 29c | 109.35$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 488 | 44.3%216 W · 272 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Over | 69c | 104.58$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.42 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…fb32backed Over | 71c | 82.38$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 39c | 78.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 2,303 | 39.4%907 W · 1,396 L | -82.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4290…af07backed Over | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 40c | 75.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 300 | 46%138 W · 162 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 42c | 68.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 828 | 36.4%301 W · 527 L | -41.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…26e3backed Over | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e43…6583backed Over | 70c | 63.49$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 199 | 59.8%119 W · 80 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 39c | 60.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 357 | 44.5%159 W · 198 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 27c | 58.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 1,133 | 31.1%352 W · 781 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed Over | 42c | 54.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.56 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9439…a00abacked Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -28%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b0…4d1ebacked Over | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b14…e3b2backed Over | 63c | 39.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 72c | 39.23$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Under | 48c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 307 | 31.6%97 W · 210 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 55c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 3,119 | 33.7%1,052 W · 2,067 L | -151.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…51debacked Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 61c | 31.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 1,381 | 45.1%623 W · 758 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 186 | 39.2%73 W · 113 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc030…b7e3backed Over | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Over | 66c | 30.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…86c3backed Under | 57c | 29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 42c | 26.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 62c | 25.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 343 | 57.1%196 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x562c…8597backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…7ce5backed Over | 43c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Under | 56c | 21.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Over | 71c | 21.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 379 | 48.3%183 W · 196 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)Dplus KIA won
- Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsDplus KIA won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 WinnerDplus KIA won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.