TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9439…a00a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
44
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT2245.5%10 W · 12 L-4.4wins-0.20per pick65cpaid-28%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Lol — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,470Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,470
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$315.79
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$59.74
LoL: G2 Esports vs AG.AL (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked AG.AL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$105.41
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.56
LoL: AG.AL vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked AG.AL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$31.22
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.03
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.5
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$34.07
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.76
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$245.47
All 22 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick66cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+77%+$230.97
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$479.3
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$54.78
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+93.6%+$140.42
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$33.39
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+82.6%+$16.53
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$720.54
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Norway vs. England: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$105.41
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$57.27
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$693Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.1%+$423.27
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$664.56
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$100.79
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$542Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$174.61
All 17 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.