Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbcb013e8ab05e56341cc778dd2286487e8ee61a83af2ee8b4d872a4850f0ba6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,311
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,311 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 60c | 16,800$10,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,720.06 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 61c | 12,724$7,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,962.52 | 1,207 | 43.5%525 W · 682 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Under | 61c | 8,555$5,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,336.45 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 39c | 7,180$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69f6…a5d3backed Over | 39c | 5,466$2,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,137.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Over | 39c | 4,444$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,732.98 | 411 | 33.8%139 W · 272 L | -28.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked Over | 40c | 3,640$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…56d8backed Under | 62c | 3,226$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.8 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Over | 38c | 2,652$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.73 | 113 | 40.7%46 W · 67 L | -12.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Over | 39c | 2,419$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.75 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Over | 40c | 1,956$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.12 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…0abfbacked Over | 39c | 1,681$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.53 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 61c | 1,650$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.02 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.34 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Over | 40c | 1,521$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.3 | 282 | 35.1%99 W · 183 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64c4…1018backed Over | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked Over | 43c | 1,418$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.86 | 373 | 42.9%160 W · 213 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4e…5c01backed Over | 39c | 1,369$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.74 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Over | 40c | 1,166$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.22 | 635 | 46.6%296 W · 339 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f3…3ca0backed Over | 39c | 1,108$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.94 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…8238backed Over | 39c | 984.01$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.76 | 147 | 35.4%52 W · 95 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf490…63afbacked Over | 39c | 941.72$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.27 | 177 | 38.4%68 W · 109 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Over | 43c | 809.73$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.97 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Over | 38c | 703.37$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.27 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdccf…faeabacked Over | 40c | 669.6$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.68 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Over | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +5.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…7367backed Over | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Over | 40c | 587.23$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.89 | 89 | 67.4%60 W · 29 L | +13.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Over | 39c | 570$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.16 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Over | 40c | 519.58$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.83 | 354 | 42.1%149 W · 205 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Over | 3c | 514.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 122 | 21.3%26 W · 96 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Over | 70c | 511.26$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.88 | 698 | 41.8%292 W · 406 L | +46.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Over | 40c | 495.87$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.35 | 238 | 32.4%77 W · 161 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 61c | 430$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.33 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 61c | 401.96$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.58 | 373 | 43.4%162 W · 211 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Under | 30c | 323.21$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.24 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Over | 40c | 321.45$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.58 | 438 | 39.7%174 W · 264 L | -24.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Over | 40c | 257.5$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Over | 40c | 231.16$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.46 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -8.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Over | 40c | 208.75$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.5 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Over | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9a…72e7backed Under | 59c | 188.88$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.68 | 239 | 46%110 W · 129 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Over | 40c | 175$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…d102backed Over | 38c | 172.1$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.36 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked Over | 37c | 171.14$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.32 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -5.7wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Under | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 569 | 49.4%281 W · 288 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…dd57backed Over | 40c | 127.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 152 | 48.7%74 W · 78 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Over | 38c | 107.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 331 | 39.9%132 W · 199 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 961 | 49.9%480 W · 481 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…7db2backed Over | 44c | 98.39$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Under | 30c | 83.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.71 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…f083backed Over | 39c | 66.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 62c | 64.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 395 | 55.2%218 W · 177 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked Under | 63c | 59.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 454 | 44.3%201 W · 253 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 61c | 58.3$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 40c | 42.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 751 | 42.1%316 W · 435 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Over | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Over | 39c | 33.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?this page
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)Dplus KIA won
- Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsDplus KIA won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 WinnerDplus KIA won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.