TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will FC Sheriff Tiraspol win on 2026-07-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,356
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,092

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,356 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes49c5,965$2,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,048.459954.5%54 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes73c3,468$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.923,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed No51c3,077$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.917233.7%58 W · 114 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x158d…9c64backed Yes48c2,731$1,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,420.291546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No33c1,759$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.472,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No33c1,756$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.81,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6f…1dfebacked No34c1,580$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5304755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No45c1,353$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.052,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No52c1,352$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.341,03346.1%476 W · 557 L-3.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No51c1,163$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.4296947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Yes49c1,023$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.465030%15 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No23c959.09$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.3155845%251 W · 307 L+2.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked No50c794.3$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.158549.4%42 W · 43 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f53…5e9fbacked Yes77c678.23$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.23933.3%3 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.34per pick68cpaid-54.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No45c651.94$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.4697346%448 W · 525 L-4.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8f7e…cbbdbacked Yes50c589.4$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.7450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4afc…ded7backed Yes50c574.26$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.132100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+116.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Yes71c552$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.1535146.2%162 W · 189 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked No31c509.99$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.3815628.2%44 W · 112 L-15.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-33.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Yes50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2506251.6%32 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes50c485.49$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.931,11435.8%399 W · 715 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No52c451.46$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.7656849.6%282 W · 286 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes70c427.1$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.622,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d9…1059backed Yes50c400.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.433161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20420050%100 W · 100 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes63c371.36$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.437446.8%175 W · 199 L+27.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes49c335$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.1912941.9%54 W · 75 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ff…8a60backed Yes50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.71353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No52c287.72$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.481,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe04…1481backed Yes69c281.6$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.6475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+39.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No50c254.86$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.7427545.8%126 W · 149 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed No51c223$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.733951.3%20 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No22c220$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1915240.8%62 W · 90 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fda…b819backed Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No36c200.08$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.932436.4%118 W · 206 L-20.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6787…ff88backed Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes49c173.47$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.7765535.6%233 W · 422 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf81a…719abacked Yes50c170.04$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.025328.3%15 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes75c161.16$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7785260.9%519 W · 333 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ee…5513backed Yes51c151.77$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.0228012.9%36 W · 244 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf830…0454backed Yes69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.93742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick65cpaid-40%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No52c136.45$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.959858.2%57 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Yes65c130.8$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.481838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd010…2ee6backed Yes49c125$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.75933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…9507backed Yes71c124.3$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.051741.2%7 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c09…b9b3backed Yes71c124.3$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.052548%12 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+198.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes48c122.99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.959050%45 W · 45 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce5e…c0fabacked No53c120$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.68245.1%37 W · 45 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2458…bd24backed Yes51c117.65$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.653046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9365…cd8ebacked Yes49c102.24$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+110.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No49c100.9$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4977855%428 W · 350 L+23.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Yes51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498351.8%43 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes49c99.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5147649.4%235 W · 241 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No50c99.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7844156%247 W · 194 L+22.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3735…1525backed No37c87$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.99949.5%49 W · 50 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No53c82.66$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6955545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes72c82.63$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1238047.4%180 W · 200 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No14c81.65$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0820244.6%90 W · 112 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e56…d55ebacked No23c74.68$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.445425.9%14 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-56.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8fa0…72d6backed Yes71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.42450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Yes49c67.6$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4815562.6%97 W · 58 L+22.9wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+35.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes70c65$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.814637.7%55 W · 91 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes53c63.5$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9437750.9%192 W · 185 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ce…b3dcbacked No33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206352.4%33 W · 30 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed No50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3023951.5%123 W · 116 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed No57c58$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0623653%125 W · 111 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc95d…d369backed Yes66c57.69$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.814259.5%25 W · 17 L+5.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+31.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8dc3…c9f1backed No52c56.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.28450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x340b…3efbbacked No34c55.88$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+63.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Yes48c55.2$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.718449.5%91 W · 93 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed No52c53.92$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.817146.5%33 W · 38 L+7.3wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+34.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9f79…d807backed Yes48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.082454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b14…e3b2backed Yes49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.02366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+39.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x819a…4b03backed No52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261520%3 W · 12 L-4.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-62.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes46c44.12$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9813839.1%54 W · 84 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x648d…0ebdbacked Yes50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202065%13 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8845…360ebacked No31c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.43330.3%10 W · 23 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-47.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes71c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.65151%26 W · 25 L-7.5wins-0.15per pick66cpaid-26.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Yes49c33.5$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0917855.6%99 W · 79 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9755…ab85backed Yes46c31.48$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Yes48c30.8$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9617958.1%104 W · 75 L+17.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes49c29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.798047.5%38 W · 42 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes49c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.287954.4%43 W · 36 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes48c26.09$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4517446%80 W · 94 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed No56c26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.567750.6%39 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x812c…b81fbacked Yes78c25.58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.731566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1040…ac10backed Yes77c25.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.872564%16 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed No53c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.352842.9%12 W · 16 L-4.6wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-24.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xea76…276bbacked Yes48c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc155…e36bbacked No52c22.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.74242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed No51c21.7$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.817059.4%101 W · 69 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed No52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.41040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-34.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c1f…a7d2backed Yes50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a2…0205backed Yes50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.