Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will NK Aluminij win on 2026-07-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb183cfaaed47356d5d12a2ff449957111e85bfd0271a836aa5148a880a2c55d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,663
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,663 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 15c | 5,199$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.69 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed Yes | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.93 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 22c | 3,002$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.84 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 25c | 2,975$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.15 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 23c | 990.37$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.21 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 80c | 827.33$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Yes | 3c | 799.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 74c | 784.79$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.05 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 75c | 701.69$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.33 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 19c | 542.54$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.08 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 76c | 512$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.6 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 25c | 506$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.5 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc12e…7c8abacked Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +106.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 76c | 493$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.32 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x676e…28c5backed Yes | 10c | 457$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 19c | 453.89$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.15 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Yes | 18c | 327.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.04 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 78c | 311.02$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.01 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes | 19c | 298$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 18c | 296.55$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.73 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 77c | 250$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 20c | 248.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 16c | 233.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Yes | 19c | 228.21$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 20c | 219.56$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 77c | 135.89$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 77c | 134.79$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Yes | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe6…4a1bbacked Yes | 10c | 111.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +10.1wins | +0.26per pick | 31cpaid | +330.1%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 23c | 108.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 23c | 100.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5a…9d75backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed No | 77c | 95.2$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 22c | 91.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb7…f765backed Yes | 24c | 82.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Yes | 22c | 81.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 61cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 22c | 68.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 77c | 64.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed No | 76c | 58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc251…a5d3backed No | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed No | 78c | 51.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 30 | 90%27 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 79cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 69c | 48.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 79c | 43.84$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 24c | 41.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…7537backed No | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 21 | 90.5%19 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 78cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…b45dbacked No | 75c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 76cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.42 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a62…5247backed No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked No | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NK Aluminij win on 2026-07-16?this page
- Will FC Sheriff Tiraspol win on 2026-07-16?Yes won
- Will NK Aluminij vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.