Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc7c97d6f8847c3a149847eda2f9b02ac90369a093e4895806a6ba257a785333

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Team Vitalityof Team Vitality, Team Heretics
Resolved: Jul 31, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $38,907
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $42,288

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,907 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Heretics	53c	10,793$5,706 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,705.52	1,635	40.2%657 W · 978 L	+48.7wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x282f…7c4ebacked Team Vitality	47c	10,000$4,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,299.94	148	42.6%63 W · 85 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65c1…2988backed Team Heretics	52c	7,073$3,678 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,677.7	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4ac…9722backed Team Vitality	48c	3,000$1,440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,560	99	44.4%44 W · 55 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Team Heretics	52c	2,553$1,328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,327.63	372	45.2%168 W · 204 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Team Vitality	48c	2,000$960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,040.02	474	55.3%262 W · 212 L	-10.6wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69b1…2687backed Team Heretics	52c	1,954$1,016 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,015.91	308	43.2%133 W · 175 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Team Vitality	47c	1,647$774 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$873	1,827	45.6%834 W · 993 L	+26.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Team Heretics	51c	1,277$652 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$651.79	127	54.3%69 W · 58 L	+8.6wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa844…83b8backed Team Vitality	49c	1,197$586 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$610.36	621	58.8%365 W · 256 L	+32.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Team Heretics	55c	1,163$641 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$640.69	706	41.5%293 W · 413 L	-17.0wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-22%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d9…5333backed Team Vitality	51c	1,110$567 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$543.29	594	59.1%351 W · 243 L	+26.4wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Team Vitality	49c	999.57$489 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510.32	112	45.5%51 W · 61 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Team Heretics	53c	914.74$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$484.81	80	47.5%38 W · 42 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Team Vitality	48c	901.98$433 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$469.03	1,611	48.4%780 W · 831 L	+24.7wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Team Vitality	48c	833.55$402 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$431.95	2,367	31.9%756 W · 1,611 L	+41.4wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Team Vitality	48c	833.33$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$433.33	512	56.1%287 W · 225 L	+13.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Team Heretics	52c	639.99$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332.8	963	50.2%483 W · 480 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Team Heretics	54c	630$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.4	1,153	55.9%645 W · 508 L	+25.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Team Vitality	49c	612.38$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312.38	1,675	59.3%993 W · 682 L	+96.8wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Team Vitality	45c	598.65$271 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.55	1,004	54.5%547 W · 457 L	+49.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf19…79bbbacked Team Vitality	48c	581.25$279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$302.25	168	58.9%99 W · 69 L	+18.3wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed Team Vitality	46c	550$253 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$297	1,117	48.8%545 W · 572 L	+40.2wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+10%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f7e…cbbdbacked Team Vitality	48c	493.75$237 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$256.75	116	59.5%69 W · 47 L	+12.7wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcc36…d35dbacked Team Heretics	52c	493.26$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.5	71	42.3%30 W · 41 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Team Vitality	48c	412.5$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$214.5	69	55.1%38 W · 31 L	+5.8wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb2ab…3bb3backed Team Vitality	48c	406.46$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.36	182	47.3%86 W · 96 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Team Vitality	51c	400$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196	222	50.5%112 W · 110 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x253e…84e4backed Team Heretics	53c	400$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	230	47%108 W · 122 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Team Heretics	58c	395.65$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.71	444	51.8%230 W · 214 L	+9.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0caa…c16cbacked Team Heretics	53c	386.79$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Team Vitality	48c	300$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156	538	29.4%158 W · 380 L	-13.8wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Team Vitality	45c	298.25$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.04	210	51.4%108 W · 102 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1636…977bbacked Team Heretics	53c	245.28$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	58	56.9%33 W · 25 L	+3.7wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x734e…edbdbacked Team Heretics	63c	238.07$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.99	34	50%17 W · 17 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b42…ae6ebacked Team Vitality	48c	210$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.2	164	39.6%65 W · 99 L	-6.2wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Team Heretics	51c	209.26$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107	923	54.3%501 W · 422 L	-17.1wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Team Vitality	48c	208.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.33	655	63.2%414 W · 241 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	62cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1ec…9c6dbacked Team Vitality	48c	208.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.33	95	60%57 W · 38 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7329…bebdbacked Team Vitality	48c	208.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.33	441	53.3%235 W · 206 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee8…ce84backed Team Vitality	48c	208.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.33	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-2.7wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x160a…43d3backed Team Heretics	45c	201$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.45	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8feb…63fcbacked Team Vitality	48c	200$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104	215	48.4%104 W · 111 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaf7…be9bbacked Team Vitality	49c	192.12$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.98	189	45%85 W · 104 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa371…eaa5backed Team Vitality	48c	191.67$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.67	90	47.8%43 W · 47 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x682c…ef07backed Team Heretics	53c	188.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	555	45%250 W · 305 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Team Heretics	55c	177.82$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.8	435	43.2%188 W · 247 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdfcf…a26ebacked Team Vitality	40c	150$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90	363	31.1%113 W · 250 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x591d…f4dfbacked Team Heretics	53c	113.21$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	149	36.9%55 W · 94 L	-7.6wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Team Vitality	50c	108.71$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.22	483	57.1%276 W · 207 L	+7.6wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x940c…6f91backed Team Heretics	45c	102$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.9	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+2.3wins	+0.26per pick	52cpaid	+125.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d28…0d64backed Team Vitality	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	151	43.7%66 W · 85 L	-13.8wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Team Vitality	37c	95.55$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.2	265	41.9%111 W · 154 L	+8.2wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5252…a7cdbacked Team Vitality	49c	95.2$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.91	644	35.4%228 W · 416 L	-28.0wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Vitality	37c	91.43$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.6	2,836	41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L	-12.9wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Team Vitality	38c	91.24$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.6	2,984	44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L	-94.6wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked Team Heretics	55c	90.91$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	181	49.7%90 W · 91 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Team Vitality	48c	87$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.24	464	48.9%227 W · 237 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Team Vitality	55c	80$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36	389	31.9%124 W · 265 L	-14.5wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Team Vitality	47c	80$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.4	1,343	49%658 W · 685 L	-26.3wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11ca…2737backed Team Vitality	49c	71.43$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.43	112	64.3%72 W · 40 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	62cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Team Vitality	45c	69.96$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.2	2,521	47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L	-34.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Team Vitality	48c	66.98$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.83	123	41.5%51 W · 72 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Team Heretics	52c	66.73$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.48	405	51.1%207 W · 198 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x36ba…7c09backed Team Vitality	68c	58.9$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.9	174	62.6%109 W · 65 L	+9.0wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Team Vitality	44c	55.4$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.88	421	37.5%158 W · 263 L	-9.5wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa4e…5973backed Team Vitality	48c	52.08$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.08	557	44%245 W · 312 L	-17.4wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Team Vitality	49c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.5	612	56.2%344 W · 268 L	-10.2wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6392…52ddbacked Team Vitality	48c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	424	48.8%207 W · 217 L	+16.9wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb1c…2679backed Team Vitality	52c	47.95$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.02	453	60.9%276 W · 177 L	+25.0wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6987…846bbacked Team Vitality	54c	46.3$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.3	73	67.1%49 W · 24 L	+4.1wins	+0.06per pick	62cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a1e…f992backed Team Heretics	48c	45.83$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	89	46.1%41 W · 48 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed Team Heretics	58c	44.53$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.65	657	25.9%170 W · 487 L	-93.4wins	-0.14per pick	40cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Team Heretics	52c	42.1$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.89	304	37.8%115 W · 189 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Team Vitality	48c	41.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.67	406	45.6%185 W · 221 L	-11.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe682…dbcdbacked Team Heretics	53c	37.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-3.7wins	-0.16per pick	47cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4b39…8b50backed Team Heretics	53c	35.85$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	461	51.4%237 W · 224 L	+21.7wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x88ee…13d8backed Team Vitality	48c	26.04$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.54	178	47.2%84 W · 94 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6dc…58d5backed Team Vitality	55c	25$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.25	221	52.5%116 W · 105 L	-10.8wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14b7…aab1backed Team Heretics	53c	24.09$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.75	193	45.6%88 W · 105 L	+7.0wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x81c9…2ca6backed Team Vitality	50c	22$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Team Vitality	70c	21.69$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.53	236	36.4%86 W · 150 L	-13.1wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x43f7…e591backed Team Heretics	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	207	48.3%100 W · 107 L	-7.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Team Heretics	55c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	251	42.6%107 W · 144 L	-22.7wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)this page
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
LoL: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonTeam Vitality won
LoL: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics - Game 1 WinnerTeam Vitality won
LoL: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics - Game 2 WinnerTeam Vitality won
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event