Tennis · resolved market
Pegula vs. Anisimova: Match O/U 21.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x470a2a38fb55b162dc007c793238230706ab81d8b22d67566f820605de27d04b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x10c1…26b4backed Over | 52c | 7,755$4,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,722.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e6…8001backed Under | 48c | 7,731$3,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,710.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x996c…7a63backed Under | 48c | 7,377$3,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,541.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd419…beedbacked Over | 52c | 7,351$3,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,528.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7e…cbbdbacked Over | 55c | 456.21$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.21 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Under | 47c | 290.87$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.71 | 243 | 40.3%98 W · 145 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked Under | 50c | 199.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Over | 53c | 189$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.83 | 219 | 59.4%130 W · 89 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 53c | 101.87$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Over | 58c | 66.55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…6dc8backed Under | 52c | 50.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 42c | 39.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 44c | 30.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 46c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pegula vs. Anisimova: Match O/U 21.5this page
- Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Amanda AnisimovaPegula won
- Pegula vs. Anisimova: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Pegula vs. Anisimova: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Pegula vs AnisimovaAnisimova won
- Set Handicap: Pegula (-1.5) vs Anisimova (+1.5)Anisimova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.