Tennis · resolved market
Chile Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Yannick Hanfmann
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3314db625b0f5aea9fc0d03707445a7edb3f600c89cab21a4dd227f76c4d5827
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hanfmannof Carabelli, Hanfmann
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $143,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Hanfmann | 60c | 31,924$19,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,819.52 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Carabelli | 40c | 20,012$8,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,055.26 | 1,683 | 50.6%851 W · 832 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Carabelli | 45c | 13,922$6,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,317 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Carabelli | 39c | 10,678$4,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,164.35 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Hanfmann | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,899.99 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hanfmann | 59c | 8,952$5,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,628.9 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Carabelli | 40c | 6,277$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Hanfmann | 55c | 4,198$2,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,901.98 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Carabelli | 43c | 3,973$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 1,125 | 42.8%482 W · 643 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Hanfmann | 58c | 3,855$2,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.24 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Hanfmann | 70c | 3,362$2,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.2 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…af49backed Carabelli | 13c | 3,109$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.31 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Carabelli | 31c | 2,484$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.52 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Carabelli | 2c | 2,193$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.06 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Carabelli | 40c | 1,960$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.53 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Carabelli | 43c | 1,605$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 784 | 52.9%415 W · 369 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hanfmann | 72c | 1,511$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.48 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Carabelli | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.99 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Carabelli | 38c | 1,400$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.98 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade0…e568backed Carabelli | 39c | 1,286$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1a…89e5backed Hanfmann | 59c | 1,215$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.6 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe507…1258backed Hanfmann | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Hanfmann | 74c | 1,041$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.88 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Hanfmann | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.95 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Carabelli | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 271 | 54.2%147 W · 124 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hanfmann | 65c | 985$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.75 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Carabelli | 39c | 985$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.25 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Carabelli | 40c | 957.91$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.74 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89fd…da5dbacked Carabelli | 41c | 843.02$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.64 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…98cfbacked Hanfmann | 61c | 800$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 145 | 36.6%53 W · 92 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed Carabelli | 40c | 765.72$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.29 | 174 | 62.6%109 W · 65 L | +34.2wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee7…6760backed Carabelli | 42c | 719.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Hanfmann | 60c | 632.8$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.57 | 496 | 32.3%160 W · 336 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e1…86b5backed Carabelli | 38c | 599.99$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Hanfmann | 51c | 593.7$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.7 | 279 | 35.8%100 W · 179 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c53…3c12backed Carabelli | 14c | 580.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x713b…ee60backed Carabelli | 40c | 577.5$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Hanfmann | 62c | 575$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.5 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Carabelli | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,853 | 48.4%897 W · 956 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Carabelli | 39c | 517.95$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Hanfmann | 60c | 511.73$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.7 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93cb…3485backed Carabelli | 42c | 508.82$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.7 | 306 | 39.9%122 W · 184 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Carabelli | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Carabelli | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Hanfmann | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Hanfmann | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…f2d8backed Carabelli | 17c | 481.88$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad76…6930backed Carabelli | 42c | 472.74$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Carabelli | 44c | 455.42$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Carabelli | 39c | 442.5$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.57 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7e…cbbdbacked Carabelli | 40c | 437.5$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Carabelli | 38c | 435$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.3 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Carabelli | 13c | 429.27$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Carabelli | 19c | 402.97$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.38 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Carabelli | 40c | 358.11$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.69 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed Hanfmann | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e0…97d3backed Hanfmann | 61c | 327.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Hanfmann | 58c | 326$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.68 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Carabelli | 39c | 325.33$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.3 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Hanfmann | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4913…d01bbacked Hanfmann | 67c | 313.43$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.43 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.19per pick | 63cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Hanfmann | 59c | 306.61$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.19 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Carabelli | 53c | 301.04$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.55 | 2,150 | 54.1%1,164 W · 986 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Hanfmann | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 588 | 59%347 W · 241 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Carabelli | 40c | 295$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 432 | 42.4%183 W · 249 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Carabelli | 40c | 294$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 556 | 41.2%229 W · 327 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Carabelli | 42c | 287$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.54 | 1,029 | 33.5%345 W · 684 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Carabelli | 42c | 285.71$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Carabelli | 19c | 264.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.23 | 262 | 27.9%73 W · 189 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Hanfmann | 59c | 254.23$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.23 | 1,926 | 55.4%1,067 W · 859 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Hanfmann | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Carabelli | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 189 | 32.3%61 W · 128 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Carabelli | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Carabelli | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Carabelli | 40c | 240.6$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.05 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Hanfmann | 58c | 240$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.67 | 1,832 | 53%971 W · 861 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Hanfmann | 66c | 235.47$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.85 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Carabelli | 38c | 228.95$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Carabelli | 40c | 223.28$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.31 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Carabelli | 42c | 221.2$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.9 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Carabelli | 40c | 220.58$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.23 | 790 | 62.2%491 W · 299 L | +25.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Carabelli | 40c | 219$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.6 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Carabelli | 39c | 218$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.02 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6c…1c75backed Hanfmann | 63c | 207.12$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.12 | 73 | 74%54 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Carabelli | 39c | 205.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Hanfmann | 61c | 204.92$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 245 | 60%147 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Hanfmann | 50c | 201.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.61 | 681 | 39.1%266 W · 415 L | -30.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Hanfmann | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e81…a0e9backed Carabelli | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked Hanfmann | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Carabelli | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 284 | 24.3%69 W · 215 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Carabelli | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 425 | 58.8%250 W · 175 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Hanfmann | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Carabelli | 40c | 172.41$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.96 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Hanfmann | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 146 | 39%57 W · 89 L | -14.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Carabelli | 36c | 167.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb127…b8a2backed Hanfmann | 60c | 166.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.35 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ea…99bcbacked Hanfmann | 62c | 160$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 240 | 60.8%146 W · 94 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Carabelli | 42c | 152.5$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.78 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Carabelli | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chile Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Yannick Hanfmannthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Carabelli vs HanfmannHanfmann won
- Set Handicap: Hanfmann (-1.5) vs Carabelli (+1.5)Hanfmann won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.