TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

FC Metz vs. Paris FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$129,487
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$129,264

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,487 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed Over50c55,651$28,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,641.263557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Under49c18,300$8,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,96740%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under50c7,989$3,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,994.656347.6%30 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under50c5,820$2,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9104548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over59c5,786$3,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,372.373834.2%13 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under49c5,561$2,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,725.121435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under41c5,085$2,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,084.696952.2%36 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Under49c4,901$2,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,401.3330%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked Under49c3,957$1,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,938.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under50c3,395$1,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,697.55151%26 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c3,273$1,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,635.5152550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over49c3,128$1,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,604.11,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Over50c3,051$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,525.37520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under50c2,910$1,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4555151%26 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under49c2,300$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,126.96944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6447…8075backed Over50c2,281$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c2,003$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.5962648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc62d…8fd8backed Over48c1,975$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.931030%3 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-43.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Under49c1,445$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.453053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebb…c199backed Over50c1,326$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad8…ed62backed Over50c1,272$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea30…4e82backed Over50c1,256$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77e8…6854backed Under48c1,227$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+38.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under46c1,205$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.2612738.6%49 W · 78 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5002832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-37.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb2bf…0b30backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5003100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50033148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under50c970$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4855251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under50c927.32$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.663231.3%10 W · 22 L-5.6wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-34.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under50c913.32$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.0130448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under50c900$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4504951%25 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Under49c890.27$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.231136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004753.2%25 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under50c775.84$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.265251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under49c621.21$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.39850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under49c593.51$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.821050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under49c530.23$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.7487344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under50c504.01$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.0127748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under45c500.2$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.5371140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505552.7%29 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2453745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under50c495.1$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.9127049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under50c485$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.54953.1%26 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under50c420$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2106654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under50c420$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2106357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over59c409.03$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.561,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under50c370$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1856051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over54c334.45$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.8912556%70 W · 55 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504847.9%23 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504553.3%24 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Over51c285.71$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1402524%6 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-34.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Under49c276.97$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.7230%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under50c270.82$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.4145233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under50c233.77$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.893141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005352.8%28 W · 25 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004650%23 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under45c199.99$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.55236.5%19 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over54c181.28$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.068247.6%39 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under49c173.52$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.039553.7%51 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under30c159.67$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.93234.4%11 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over52c152$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.1326354%142 W · 121 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b35…7e1dbacked Under49c150$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.51435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Under51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.54461.4%27 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759954.5%54 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7520860.6%126 W · 82 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Over61c132.98$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.781330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-50.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe29f…b2f0backed Under34c129.68$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0930%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under49c128.78$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.469450%47 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6808…899bbacked Under49c125.43$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.46250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.56448.4%31 W · 33 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x72d3…cbf2backed Over77c98.62$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Over51c95.12$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.611338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Over67c85.95$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.693053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Under48c50.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.224450%22 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513655.9%76 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeedf…1483backed Over53c48.59$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.842272.7%16 W · 6 L+5.7wins+0.26per pick47cpaid+57.1%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under50c48.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2517756.5%100 W · 77 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under50c46.91$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.463943.6%17 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over58c46.07$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.152250%11 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe626…92b5backed Under42c45.96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.32556%14 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8a4…78a2backed Under49c45.84$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.46616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-64.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over56c43.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.124719.1%9 W · 38 L-6.4wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-53.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe291…9806backed Over53c41.26$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9752…57a9backed Under49c40.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9930%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed Under49c39.65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.431752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Over53c38.87$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.275354.7%29 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x76e5…af5ebacked Under50c38.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.430%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6432…36febacked Over50c38.69$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.29666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+57.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd173…bfaebacked Under49c37.29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.27944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over53c36.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.249657.3%55 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over57c34.18$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.73351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x175e…8e46backed Over52c30.39$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.59250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7569…ac76backed Under46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4a1…3a92backed Over68c28.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.231275%9 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+33.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under49c26.17$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8329637.5%111 W · 185 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over51c25.1$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.310248%49 W · 53 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over78c23.1$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.087869.2%54 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.