Ligue 1 · resolved market
FC Metz vs. Paris FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x299e9af7159c94c786c82f25dfb511a3d38b7212e25e3e5d0445421d4f459c41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,487
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $129,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,487 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Over | 50c | 55,651$28,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,641.26 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Under | 49c | 18,300$8,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,967 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 50c | 7,989$3,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,994.65 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 50c | 5,820$2,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,910 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 59c | 5,786$3,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,372.37 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Under | 49c | 5,561$2,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,725.12 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 41c | 5,085$2,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,084.69 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Under | 49c | 4,901$2,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,401.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Under | 49c | 3,957$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 50c | 3,395$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,697.5 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 3,273$1,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,635.51 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 3,128$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,604.1 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Over | 50c | 3,051$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 50c | 2,910$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Under | 49c | 2,300$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6447…8075backed Over | 50c | 2,281$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 2,003$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.59 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…8fd8backed Over | 48c | 1,975$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.93 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 49c | 1,445$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.45 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…c199backed Over | 50c | 1,326$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad8…ed62backed Over | 50c | 1,272$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea30…4e82backed Over | 50c | 1,256$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77e8…6854backed Under | 48c | 1,227$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 46c | 1,205$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.26 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…0b30backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 50c | 970$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 50c | 927.32$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.66 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 913.32$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.01 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 50c | 900$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Under | 49c | 890.27$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.23 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 50c | 775.84$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.26 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under | 49c | 621.21$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 49c | 593.51$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.82 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 530.23$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.74 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 50c | 504.01$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.01 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 45c | 500.2$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.53 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 50c | 495.1$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.91 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 50c | 485$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.5 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Under | 50c | 420$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under | 50c | 420$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 59c | 409.03$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.56 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under | 50c | 370$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 54c | 334.45$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.89 | 125 | 56%70 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 51c | 285.71$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Under | 49c | 276.97$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 50c | 270.82$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.41 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 50c | 233.77$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.89 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 45c | 199.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.5 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 54c | 181.28$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.06 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 49c | 173.52$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.03 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 30c | 159.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 52c | 152$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.13 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…7e1dbacked Under | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Under | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Over | 61c | 132.98$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.78 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe29f…b2f0backed Under | 34c | 129.68$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 49c | 128.78$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.46 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6808…899bbacked Under | 49c | 125.43$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72d3…cbf2backed Over | 77c | 98.62$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 51c | 95.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.61 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Over | 67c | 85.95$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Under | 48c | 50.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeedf…1483backed Over | 53c | 48.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +5.7wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 177 | 56.5%100 W · 77 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 50c | 46.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 58c | 46.07$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed Under | 42c | 45.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a4…78a2backed Under | 49c | 45.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe291…9806backed Over | 53c | 41.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…57a9backed Under | 49c | 40.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Under | 49c | 39.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 53c | 38.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e5…af5ebacked Under | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6432…36febacked Over | 50c | 38.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd173…bfaebacked Under | 49c | 37.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Over | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x175e…8e46backed Over | 52c | 30.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7569…ac76backed Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a1…3a92backed Over | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 49c | 26.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 51c | 25.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 78c | 23.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Metz vs. Paris FC: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Metz vs. Paris FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Metz vs. Paris FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Metz vs. Paris FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Metz vs. Paris FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Metz (-1.5)Paris FC won
- Spread: Paris FC (-1.5)Paris FC won
- Spread: Paris FC (-2.5)FC Metz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.