TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

CA Osasuna vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$130,677
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$138,950

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,677 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x317a…d6f5backed Under0c65,816$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.742245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70d8…a237backed Under56c4,000$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,239.992962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under58c3,577$2,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,070.0813054.6%71 W · 59 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under75c3,082$2,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,310.183,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over12c2,939$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,571.5510418.3%19 W · 85 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a91…c6b1backed Under56c2,833$1,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,586.387656.6%43 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over32c2,284$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,554.917731.1%55 W · 122 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Under55c2,262$1,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,243.9710450%52 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under57c1,882$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.7624147.7%115 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Over44c1,723$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.69887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.3wins+0.41per pick46cpaid+91.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3673…2d13backed Over45c1,376$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.15633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over42c1,346$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.541,18651.7%613 W · 573 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Over44c1,318$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.982369.6%16 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+39.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over22c1,300$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.866437.5%24 W · 40 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked Under56c1,234$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.863253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa1…1fa9backed Over10c999.98$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.98650%3 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+203.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under71c882.04$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.961,42145.7%649 W · 772 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38b8…f812backed Over37c864.96$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.925556.4%31 W · 24 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+38.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Over40c819.25$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.453237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over30c784.07$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.221,52938.5%588 W · 941 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Over45c746$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.31478.6%11 W · 3 L+4.3wins+0.31per pick48cpaid+62.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under74c706.21$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.5192345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Under58c672.28$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.924450%22 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36d4…8c7fbacked Over14c670.25$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.181250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under77c610.6$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.031,66243.7%727 W · 935 L-23.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over43c586$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.0211741.9%49 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b67…f13cbacked Under3c567.35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8650%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over42c563.69$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.3765356.5%369 W · 284 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over35c549.14$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.9417128.1%48 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebb5…ec99backed Over37c543.06$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.91258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+52.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe56…593abacked Under10c539.12$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.91248.3%2 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick14cpaid+7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over44c536.44$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.2469350.2%348 W · 345 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over42c521.86$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.6884144.8%377 W · 464 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9691…c6e7backed Under58c499.98$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.993834.2%13 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd16…d24dbacked Over14c479.98$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.432536%9 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over42c450.39$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.512,34748.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6556…5c7cbacked Under58c337.44$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.931464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf63…ba76backed Under58c336.14$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.961080%8 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+45.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over43c332.39$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.5948251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over44c326.61$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.923957.7%138 W · 101 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over73c324.91$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.8320743%89 W · 118 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over43c300$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17145949.7%228 W · 231 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under57c291.32$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.056962.3%43 W · 26 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x76e4…febcbacked Over43c254.59$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.121346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over42c249.31$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.622448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b7…48d4backed Over43c244.57$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.417031.4%22 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over22c243.59$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.9461032.3%197 W · 413 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72ef…f569backed Over12c238.77$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.36944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick28cpaid+83.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over23c233.16$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.1484939.7%337 W · 512 L-21.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under59c228$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.5243250.7%219 W · 213 L+16.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaac8…b6f1backed Over43c224.6$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.0214549.7%72 W · 73 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb581…1b9cbacked Over43c224.6$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.026861.8%42 W · 26 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa78d…130bbacked Over17c223.58$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.572100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+310.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Over42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11611636.2%42 W · 74 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over17c185.21$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.4620241.6%84 W · 118 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over30c184.27$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.185547.3%26 W · 29 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf36a…832abacked Over10c183.24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+894.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked Over33c175.21$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.633839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31d4…5c13backed Over14c169.36$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.656142.6%26 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Over28c167.02$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.263850%19 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1703…1ab4backed Over37c156.05$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.324052.5%21 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Over13c147.03$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.085427.8%15 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+58.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over43c144.87$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.5862744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eb3…8e52backed Over11c129.08$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.884544.4%20 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+39.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x362d…0c58backed Over23c125.59$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.633100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+155.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f96…e7f0backed Over38c119.64$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.911060%6 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+35.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0dca…a234backed Over20c111.49$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.672722.2%6 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick19cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under67c107.82$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.137447.3%35 W · 39 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Over44c103.28$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.338353%44 W · 39 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c6c…0319backed Over14c101.61$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.393036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked Under68c96.26$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.723164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over43c94.04$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2720350.7%103 W · 100 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8006…94dcbacked Over31c93.36$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.613729.7%11 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over41c89.66$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7519555.9%109 W · 86 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb82b…bb76backed Over23c88.34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.353842.1%16 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+50.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over44c85.87$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0933161.3%203 W · 128 L+12.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Under57c85.46$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.717949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over23c80$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.65451.9%28 W · 26 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under58c72.7$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9770050.6%354 W · 346 L+2.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfff…3d0ebacked Over29c70.35$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.814551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa2d…d35bbacked Over26c70$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.12955.2%16 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+37.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over23c69$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.286350.8%32 W · 31 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8209…bff8backed Over27c68.58$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.73580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+82.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over43c67.61$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5410450%52 W · 52 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over43c67.07$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2344840.4%181 W · 267 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Under74c66.89$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3119461.9%120 W · 74 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over42c66.7$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.641,57751.4%811 W · 766 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3092…c9a8backed Over44c66.28$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.113441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd876…4c8bbacked Over28c66.18$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.521030%3 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick20cpaid+51.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under55c59.63$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.818650%93 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Over44c57.98$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.477949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Over42c57.91$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.595352.8%28 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Under80c57.86$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2820253.5%108 W · 94 L-0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over43c56.15$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0149228.9%142 W · 350 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over37c55.9$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2759855.5%332 W · 266 L+32.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under62c54.42$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4924048.3%116 W · 124 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x425b…dbfdbacked Over30c53.43$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.132020%4 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-38.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x125c…f50abacked Over37c52.21$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.975543.6%24 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under78c51.7$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4974657.4%428 W · 318 L+22.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fd…3914backed Over42c50.24$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.142339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.