TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
CR Flamengoof CR Flamengo, Independiente Medellín
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,429
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,133

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,429 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed CR Flamengo58c27,800$16,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,773.4229446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed CR Flamengo61c16,397$10,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,394.7231349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Independiente Medellín29c11,944$3,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,415.628,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Independiente Medellín43c6,638$2,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,853.422,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Independiente Medellín42c3,861$1,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,621.5424855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Independiente Medellín42c3,319$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,394.8742962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Independiente Medellín42c2,896$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,216.1513059.2%77 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Independiente Medellín41c2,438$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.843,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Independiente Medellín32c2,369$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.575,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Independiente Medellín39c2,141$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.11,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked CR Flamengo60c2,117$1,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.166944.9%31 W · 38 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Independiente Medellín39c1,708$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.2857157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Independiente Medellín39c1,708$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.2847756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Independiente Medellín42c1,689$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.4216558.2%96 W · 69 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ad6…caadbacked CR Flamengo72c1,553$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.594669.6%32 W · 14 L+8.1wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+29%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Independiente Medellín42c1,448$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.0824053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Independiente Medellín39c1,035$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.9750746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Independiente Medellín42c965.2$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.3823057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Independiente Medellín39c816.64$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.4947758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Independiente Medellín39c665.81$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.3522853.1%121 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Independiente Medellín42c660.1$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.2445253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed CR Flamengo56c597.98$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.1111245.5%51 W · 61 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked CR Flamengo61c561.58$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.027852.6%41 W · 37 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Independiente Medellín42c482.6$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.6923056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba9…4fa1backed Independiente Medellín41c462.07$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Independiente Medellín42c434.34$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.4224956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked CR Flamengo61c432.96$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.313257.6%76 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Independiente Medellín42c420.6$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.6518358.5%107 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Independiente Medellín50c388$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1949831.6%31 W · 67 L-11.2wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-24.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Independiente Medellín26c386.67$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8299259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Independiente Medellín42c386.08$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.1521358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Independiente Medellín42c386.08$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.1516559.4%98 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Independiente Medellín42c386.08$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.1515857.6%91 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Independiente Medellín46c318.71$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.921,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa334…beaebacked Independiente Medellín27c285.53$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.493828.9%11 W · 27 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-45.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Independiente Medellín29c274.96$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.823,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Independiente Medellín42c262.6$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.2928851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Independiente Medellín39c247.06$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3363657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Independiente Medellín42c241.3$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.3521657.9%125 W · 91 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Independiente Medellín42c241.3$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.3520360.6%123 W · 80 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d39…a4fbbacked CR Flamengo63c232.43$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.767128.2%20 W · 51 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed CR Flamengo63c231.08$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.377951.9%41 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x768b…bf0fbacked Independiente Medellín42c217.7$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.431250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a1f…eb43backed CR Flamengo45c216.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.393333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x183d…1ee1backed CR Flamengo77c210.33$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Independiente Medellín38c190.11$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.42,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Independiente Medellín39c183.06$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.042,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a4c…1940backed CR Flamengo77c181.08$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.658858%51 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Independiente Medellín42c161.57$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.567745.5%35 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Independiente Medellín41c159.42$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.847269.4%50 W · 22 L+12.3wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+37.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x7db4…bee1backed CR Flamengo46c154.33$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.71540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Independiente Medellín42c144.78$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8122058.6%129 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Independiente Medellín42c144.78$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8115560%93 W · 62 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed CR Flamengo63c132.06$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.25580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf5f…2184backed Independiente Medellín41c125.76$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Independiente Medellín39c98.71$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4236757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Independiente Medellín42c96.52$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5424257%138 W · 104 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Independiente Medellín42c96.52$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5418959.3%112 W · 77 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d3f…82cbbacked CR Flamengo62c95.69$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Independiente Medellín41c89.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.98045%36 W · 44 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe80f…b81bbacked CR Flamengo63c77.85$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.97250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00a1…df06backed CR Flamengo63c77.76$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.874454.5%24 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Independiente Medellín42c72.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.417960.3%108 W · 71 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb611…188fbacked Independiente Medellín39c71.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.842259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Independiente Medellín42c68.93$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9514535.9%52 W · 93 L+0.5wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e96…1e75backed Independiente Medellín38c67.68$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.72425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Independiente Medellín42c63.88$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8311858.5%69 W · 49 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2920…a1d3backed CR Flamengo62c63.05$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.963060%18 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8535…c307backed CR Flamengo62c62.56$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.46475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+39.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked Independiente Medellín39c61.76$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.095660.7%34 W · 22 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Independiente Medellín39c61.76$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0938861.3%238 W · 150 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Independiente Medellín39c61.76$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0915457.1%88 W · 66 L-0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Independiente Medellín48c60.07$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8324253.3%129 W · 113 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ca…5ed4backed CR Flamengo45c60$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaff…eaf6backed Independiente Medellín41c58.92$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.212454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Independiente Medellín41c58.82$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1217261%105 W · 67 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Independiente Medellín42c57.91$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3213465.7%88 W · 46 L+13.1wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+23.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Independiente Medellín39c57.04$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.421,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Independiente Medellín38c53.77$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.641,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed CR Flamengo61c53.15$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.622962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+21.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdda5…830dbacked CR Flamengo62c50.29$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.87875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0158…75a5backed Independiente Medellín39c48.91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40a4…c6a9backed CR Flamengo53c48.59$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.842045%9 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked CR Flamengo63c46.71$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3918140.3%73 W · 108 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1de9…9499backed CR Flamengo63c46.62$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.258146.9%38 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed CR Flamengo62c46.24$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.688451.2%43 W · 41 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Independiente Medellín38c46.16$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.546352.4%33 W · 30 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9888…a1f7backed CR Flamengo62c45.71$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.37862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed CR Flamengo62c44.13$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7776951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked CR Flamengo59c42.73$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.361,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed CR Flamengo59c39.68$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.273073.3%22 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd7f8…2e4cbacked Independiente Medellín39c37.05$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.45450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-37.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f17…d28abacked CR Flamengo56c34.77$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6a1…ab16backed CR Flamengo75c32.83$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.214872.9%35 W · 13 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+18.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d6b…aaa3backed CR Flamengo61c31.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.235234.6%18 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa2d…d35bbacked CR Flamengo62c30.39$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.551040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed CR Flamengo62c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.48536.5%31 W · 54 L-7.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf5ba…7ed1backed CR Flamengo62c29.95$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.381050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba3d…06ddbacked Independiente Medellín38c28.88$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Independiente Medellín39c28.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.131,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.