South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Puebla vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04b434d76e5328807099370de94c5f9948865a7bae4506444309f68a74c5eec6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,575
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,575 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd679…91a0backed Under | 50c | 3,029$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.14 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Over | 49c | 2,006$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.39 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4acb…ddd3backed Under | 50c | 1,268$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.54 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x768b…bf0fbacked Under | 50c | 805.96$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.91 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c4…f7b8backed Over | 56c | 618.91$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.79 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Over | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 48c | 530.33$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.77 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 52c | 468.85$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.8 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Over | 49c | 351$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1536…7f40backed Over | 50c | 151$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Over | 50c | 150.96$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.48 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 49c | 138.93$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.08 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Over | 50c | 126$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Over | 49c | 102.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.31 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa448…3046backed Over | 49c | 94$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Over | 50c | 90.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 48c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.33 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2163…b139backed Over | 50c | 64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 44c | 58.13$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d9…a4e5backed Over | 52c | 55.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe2…380fbacked Over | 50c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfae…155ebacked Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e3…cc35backed Over | 56c | 35.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca6…9da8backed Over | 57c | 35.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 43c | 28.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf75…099fbacked Over | 50c | 20.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Puebla vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Club Puebla vs. CD Guadalajara: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Club Puebla vs. CD Guadalajara: CD Guadalajara O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- Club Puebla vs. CD Guadalajara: Club Puebla O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Club Puebla vs. CD Guadalajara: Club Puebla O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.