Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Hammarby Fotboll win on 2026-08-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x932e501877fb1d0dd63f254426061cdae7a7cfe68341dac9acd4e2bbec26583e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,694
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,635
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,694 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 29c | 1,112$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.66 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 1,018$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.55 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 944.87$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.52 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 6c | 598$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 69c | 499.95$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.98 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked No | 79c | 491$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.11 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 31c | 394.45$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.39 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes | 30c | 376.03$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.81 | 182 | 52.7%96 W · 86 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 70c | 365.33$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.6 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 29c | 359.66$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.68 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768b…bf0fbacked Yes | 31c | 249.29$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc47…eb82backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 30c | 142.86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeca…a1b7backed No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 21c | 127.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc97…7172backed Yes | 31c | 127$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.37 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Yes | 31c | 120$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 71c | 105.84$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked No | 80c | 100.01$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Yes | 26c | 93.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98c1…3d1ebacked No | 69c | 76$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 31c | 69.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6e…8770backed Yes | 30c | 66.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +33%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 21c | 61.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 72c | 59.05$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 71c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 72c | 51.06$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 72c | 51.06$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Yes | 28c | 49.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 72c | 44.51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…db39backed No | 70c | 32.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…1b50backed No | 71c | 21.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 70cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed No | 70c | 20.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 75c | 16.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed No | 71c | 14.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hammarby Fotboll win on 2026-08-06?this page
- Will RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. Hammarby Fotboll end in a draw?Yes won
- Will RKS Raków Częstochowa win on 2026-08-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.