Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will RKS Raków Częstochowa win on 2026-08-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6ab0219653cbcf3ec66d47fa9307d33406ec8a8c7cbbfb0a563999277fac03c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,301
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,301 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 30c | 3,981$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.56 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 42c | 2,986$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.12 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 2,868$2,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.07 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 58c | 1,615$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.44 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Yes | 43c | 1,458$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.06 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 17c | 1,197$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.33 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 58c | 1,016$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.72 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebc…89c8backed No | 59c | 840$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.4 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 41c | 765.79$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.86 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 46c | 741$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.56 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 54c | 601.73$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.8 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 59c | 546$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.71 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 59c | 513$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.13 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 58c | 492.58$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.88 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 56c | 431.02$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.77 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 64c | 392.43$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.42 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed No | 59c | 340$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.4 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 46c | 272$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.36 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked No | 52c | 260.21$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.36 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 51c | 253$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.69 | 116 | 74.1%86 W · 30 L | +18.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Yes | 27c | 186$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.08 | 40 | 82.5%33 W · 7 L | +11.3wins | +0.28per pick | 54cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xeaeb…c2d0backed Yes | 42c | 178$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +99.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 42c | 145.37$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.83 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed Yes | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 44c | 129$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.09 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 43c | 124$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.36 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 78c | 122.08$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 43c | 110.72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed No | 58c | 110$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 19c | 104.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 48c | 103.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 18c | 97.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +17.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Yes | 43c | 96.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.39 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Yes | 12c | 94.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…514fbacked Yes | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 30c | 93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd7…d82ebacked Yes | 19c | 92.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 42c | 83.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed No | 59c | 77.19$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.65 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 30c | 62.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Yes | 43c | 59.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd5…ecbebacked No | 59c | 49.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.20per pick | 39cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 70c | 45.96$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 70c | 44.32$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…3243backed Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ba…4390backed Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7488…9cfbbacked Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed No | 60c | 33.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 68c | 32.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…1b50backed No | 76c | 29.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 70cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed No | 60c | 27.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed Yes | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked No | 77c | 23.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…efaebacked No | 60c | 22.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0617…08d9backed No | 76c | 21.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed No | 61c | 20.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +12.6wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 67c | 15.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked No | 69c | 15.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RKS Raków Częstochowa win on 2026-08-06?this page
- Will Hammarby Fotboll win on 2026-08-06?No won
- Will RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. Hammarby Fotboll end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.