Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-07-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63823a834d7e5c4efb51d951aad53c6534466895d0edc26a1189c9e1b48c0db8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,612
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,254
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,612 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 61c | 9,532$5,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,678.83 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 35c | 4,395$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541.72 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 16c | 2,947$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.38 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes | 60c | 2,669$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.1 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 69c | 2,434$1,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.58 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 37c | 1,631$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.62 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 60c | 1,503$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.57 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 39c | 1,411$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.34 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 36c | 1,372$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.8 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 40c | 1,282$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.33 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 33c | 754.59$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.21 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ff…879cbacked No | 41c | 749.99$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.69 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 40c | 740$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.51 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55f8…eceebacked Yes | 54c | 608.28$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 22c | 561.37$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.35 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 43c | 513.91$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.91 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 39c | 442$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.38 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17de…3a29backed No | 11c | 353.75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd3…ac03backed Yes | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b90…47edbacked Yes | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…f431backed No | 4c | 303.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 31c | 283.42$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.43 | 74 | 17.6%13 W · 61 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked No | 40c | 215.48$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.19 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed No | 41c | 210.49$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.19 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 38c | 202.5$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 52c | 198.02$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.05 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 68c | 179.58$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.31 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 60c | 147.29$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 39c | 125.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6a…ef21backed No | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed No | 39c | 92.26$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 61c | 81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 40c | 72.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 39c | 67.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 78c | 63.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…99e5backed Yes | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 38c | 55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 49c | 53.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…a307backed Yes | 56c | 48.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed Yes | 74c | 42.37$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 51c | 42.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 130 | 67.7%88 W · 42 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaba4…801bbacked Yes | 59c | 38.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…ab12backed Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca3…8ccdbacked Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 60c | 25.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce8a…189fbacked Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…64fdbacked Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 63c | 19.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 74c | 14.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-07-23?this page
- Will Paksi FC vs. Panathinaikós AO end in a draw?No won
- Will Paksi FC win on 2026-07-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.