South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Paranaense vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e68226a7fbdce275ffe026c00ddc6ea9f3c29d6cdf6ac017f906598e13461b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 46c | 9,773$4,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,479.85 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 53c | 7,381$3,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,503.8 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 61c | 2,921$1,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.97 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 43c | 2,807$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.29 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 37c | 2,345$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.47 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.95 | 103 | 64.1%66 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 70c | 1,432$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c35…78abbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 15cpaid | +312.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 42c | 705.49$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.16 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 17c | 647.74$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.27 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 30c | 495.71$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.82 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 69c | 344.26$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.72 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Over | 70c | 303.74$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.12 | 213 | 66.7%142 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 32c | 300$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.9 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45bb…4927backed Over | 43c | 268.93$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd04…c5e1backed Under | 77c | 254.27$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.79 | 24 | 87.5%21 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 76cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 70c | 207$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 70c | 206.99$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Over | 67c | 202.96$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.98 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Over | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ff…879cbacked Under | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over | 55c | 155.75$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.45 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 36c | 139.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.03 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 64c | 114.68$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15fa…8fdfbacked Over | 43c | 113.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 57c | 99.95$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d39…ba51backed Over | 71c | 94.66$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9c…601abacked Over | 36c | 93.28$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.7 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 52c | 82.86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 33c | 77.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.26 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | +67%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Over | 53c | 74.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.62 | 126 | 62.7%79 W · 47 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 68c | 73.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 70c | 70.07$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 76c | 67.07$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Under | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47df…2183backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 74c | 52.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 68 | 77.9%53 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 47c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.39 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 38c | 50.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…6f17backed Over | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…4322backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 75c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 70c | 47.93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 51c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Under | 29c | 44.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 54c | 36.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 54c | 36.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 51c | 35.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 77c | 29.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b6…886ebacked Over | 56c | 26.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbf…fb78backed Over | 51c | 24.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 78c | 24.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 49c | 24.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 44c | 24.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3500…07f0backed Over | 56c | 23.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 54c | 22.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…c45ebacked Over | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Paranaense vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Paranaense vs. Red Bull Bragantino: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Paranaense vs. Red Bull Bragantino: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Paranaense vs. Red Bull Bragantino: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- CA Paranaense vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Paranaense vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Paranaense vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Paranaense vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Paranaense vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 5.5Under won
- CA Paranaense vs. Red Bull Bragantino: Red Bull Bragantino 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spread: CA Paranaense (-1.5)Red Bull Bragantino won
- Spread: CA Paranaense (-2.5)Red Bull Bragantino won
- Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)CA Paranaense won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.