South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Paranaense vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e51ac3bcaec90314a3f3776370241c45bacc32e0318b368ebc7cd906b8e8c51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,983
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,983 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 60c | 16,667$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,666.71 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 17c | 10,648$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,828.76 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 40c | 8,196$3,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,278.38 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 28c | 6,006$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.39 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 40c | 5,289$2,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,115.69 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 4,871$3,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795.24 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 25c | 2,429$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.85 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked Over | 33c | 1,791$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.44 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed Over | 1c | 1,277$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 63c | 1,264$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.12 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 29c | 1,100$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.95 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 56c | 770$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.8 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd04…c5e1backed Under | 57c | 680.98$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.82 | 24 | 87.5%21 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 76cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…89c6backed Under | 71c | 481.59$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.3 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over | 8c | 351.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 21c | 316.66$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.25 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 29c | 193.72$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.07 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 68c | 186.45$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.87 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 28c | 169.8$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 62c | 158.44$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.21 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 29c | 152$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 29c | 147.09$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.94 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Under | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 23c | 129.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 12c | 119.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 44c | 114.93$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.57 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 63c | 114.91$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 63c | 114.89$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.18 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Under | 80c | 106.25$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…1511backed Under | 60c | 102.25$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 67cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 41c | 102.22$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.91 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9287…0098backed Over | 43c | 94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 41c | 91.09$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 44c | 90.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9c…601abacked Over | 44c | 87.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.53 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Over | 41c | 75.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 64c | 74.4$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 18c | 69.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Over | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 156 | 25.6%40 W · 116 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Over | 43c | 58.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…6f17backed Over | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…99a6backed Under | 79c | 48.65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 59c | 44.35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c35…78abbacked Under | 52c | 40.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 15cpaid | +312.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Under | 56c | 35.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…79b1backed Under | 57c | 28.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 67cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 60c | 22.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 126 | 62.7%79 W · 47 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 58c | 20.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 60c | 16.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Paranaense vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Paranaense vs. Red Bull Bragantino: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Paranaense vs. Red Bull Bragantino: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Paranaense vs. Red Bull Bragantino: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- CA Paranaense vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Paranaense vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Paranaense vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Paranaense vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Paranaense vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 5.5Under won
- CA Paranaense vs. Red Bull Bragantino: Red Bull Bragantino 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spread: CA Paranaense (-1.5)Red Bull Bragantino won
- Spread: CA Paranaense (-2.5)Red Bull Bragantino won
- Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)CA Paranaense won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.