Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will ETO FC win on 2026-07-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54c525a1d4374352e96ab5edcced5927dc66d74ba07ffd164c372bf6c1ac49cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,325
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,619
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,325 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 7c | 1,432$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.35 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd682…2c16backed No | 3c | 1,150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +187.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 77c | 1,103$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.45 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 26c | 766.46$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.41 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 9c | 700$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 234 | 61.5%144 W · 90 L | +26.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Yes | 66c | 645.1$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.57 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 37c | 621$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.77 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 8c | 425.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.07 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 65c | 413.1$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.67 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 67c | 409$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed No | 38c | 302.37$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.89 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 78c | 292.38$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.25 | 116 | 74.1%86 W · 30 L | +18.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 36c | 284.77$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.46 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 18c | 275.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Yes | 64c | 265.63$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.63 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 36c | 222.09$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.95 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ff…879cbacked No | 29c | 219.97$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.79 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 36c | 218$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.48 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Yes | 63c | 213.61$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.49 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…6ca8backed Yes | 66c | 212.12$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.12 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed No | 23c | 198.79$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.66 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked Yes | 55c | 189.34$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.2 | 69 | 73.9%51 W · 18 L | +19.0wins | +0.28per pick | 46cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 35c | 185.49$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.21 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 34c | 181.3$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.86 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 34c | 168.8$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.65 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 65c | 161.61$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.89 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked No | 35c | 159.42$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.34 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…5ab3backed Yes | 70c | 149.66$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 38c | 142.16$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.45 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 37c | 138$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.79 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 15c | 132.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 65c | 111$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 73c | 105$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +15.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 32c | 105$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 130 | 67.7%88 W · 42 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 15c | 99.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 66c | 91.3$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 35c | 89.66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 62c | 85.81$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.18 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed No | 39c | 73.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +6.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 23c | 72.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55f8…2544backed Yes | 65c | 61.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed No | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3247…9488backed Yes | 65c | 45.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…825cbacked Yes | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 65c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 62c | 37.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36fe…b131backed Yes | 53c | 34.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked No | 37c | 33.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31df…a49ebacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…6572backed Yes | 78c | 29.14$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x812c…b81fbacked Yes | 65c | 28.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0811…1870backed Yes | 64c | 28.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…d807backed Yes | 66c | 20.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 73c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Yes | 65c | 17.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will ETO FC win on 2026-07-21?this page
- Will FC Atert Bissen vs. ETO FC end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Atert Bissen win on 2026-07-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.