Other European Leagues · resolved market
Telstar 1963 vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3ee5a4f4b96df86d4759a012cab0cca40b116ca80cf01a2edb58ff032f4ccf8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,531
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,531 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Under | 1c | 2,710$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 59c | 2,246$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.66 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Over | 44c | 2,000$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed Under | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…1a0fbacked Over | 20c | 1,138$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.16 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +574.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed Over | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 2c | 913.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 5c | 910.1$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.91 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 19c | 881.54$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.09 | 197 | 29.9%59 W · 138 L | -21.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Over | 20c | 835.6$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.01 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Over | 40c | 546.39$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.83 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 60c | 545.39$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.23 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Over | 16c | 357.14$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.62 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed Over | 20c | 333.33$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…89d3backed Under | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 71c | 286.81$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.64 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 38c | 222.22$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.78 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 62c | 200.38$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.24 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 59c | 106.83$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.03 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ff…879cbacked Under | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +100%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 80c | 86.8$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.44 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 70c | 86.1$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +13.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked Over | 15c | 70.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Over | 38c | 69.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.04 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +8.2wins | +0.25per pick | 54cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Under | 51c | 67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 56c | 66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7eb…da58backed Under | 67c | 65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 54c | 63.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.07 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Under | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 54.53$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdc…9b4cbacked Under | 59c | 52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 39c | 49.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 63c | 45.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…fbe1backed Over | 38c | 44.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +129.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Over | 38c | 38.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked Under | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 78c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Under | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 144 | 35.4%51 W · 93 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…9c73backed Under | 79c | 24.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 80c | 21.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Telstar 1963 vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Sparta Rotterdam (-1.5)Sparta Rotterdam won
- Spread: Sparta Rotterdam (-2.5)Telstar 1963 won
- Telstar 1963 vs. Sparta Rotterdam: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Telstar 1963 vs. Sparta Rotterdam: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Telstar 1963 vs. Sparta Rotterdam: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Telstar 1963 vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 0.5Over won
- Telstar 1963 vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 1.5Over won
- Telstar 1963 vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 2.5Over won
- Telstar 1963 vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 4.5Under won
- Telstar 1963 vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 5.5Under won
- Telstar 1963 vs. Sparta Rotterdam: Telstar 1963 O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.