Other European Leagues · resolved market
Viborg FF vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe8615c6380d96a2d9ef9adc8f02ca61ad0946be552035a9999e11003e57cdf5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,230
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,463
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,230 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 62c | 1,659$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.32 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 37c | 488.69$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.79 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 30c | 470.05$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.99 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 44c | 358.87$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.07 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 39c | 247.08$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.79 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 56c | 242.31$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.2 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 6c | 196$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 55c | 177.98$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.14 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 39c | 151.2$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.23 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…f8bdbacked Under | 35c | 149.17$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 58c | 143.19$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.51 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 70c | 142.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.33 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 37c | 119.53$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.23 | 197 | 29.9%59 W · 138 L | -21.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 45c | 116$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5f…1f5cbacked Under | 39c | 115.38$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.38 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…6533backed Under | 39c | 115.38$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.38 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ff…879cbacked Under | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over | 30c | 89.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee0…4078backed Under | 76c | 78.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked Under | 53c | 74.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.81 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Under | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Under | 75c | 53.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 44c | 41.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…6f17backed Over | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Under | 55c | 35.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 38c | 33.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 43c | 30.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Under | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 144 | 35.4%51 W · 93 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26cd…2c85backed Over | 65c | 27.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…2211backed Over | 39c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 64c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 59c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Viborg FF vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Aarhus GF (-1.5)Viborg FF won
- Spread: Viborg FF (-1.5)Aarhus GF won
- Spread: Viborg FF (-2.5)Aarhus GF won
- Viborg FF vs. Aarhus GF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Viborg FF vs. Aarhus GF: Aarhus GF O/U 0.5Over won
- Viborg FF vs. Aarhus GF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Viborg FF vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Viborg FF vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Viborg FF vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Viborg FF vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Viborg FF vs. Aarhus GF: Viborg FF O/U 1.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.