Other European Leagues · resolved market
IF Elfsborg vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0262e9ca0add63064b3b98e9851cf142ac42a783f1e127f47f369f401c32f669
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,111
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,978
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,111 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 44c | 4,503$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.68 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 2,668$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503.02 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 56c | 1,276$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.52 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…7c68backed Under | 52c | 999.98$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Under | 40c | 931.93$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.77 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 56c | 454.51$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.98 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 41c | 360.98$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.01 | 197 | 29.9%59 W · 138 L | -21.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 44c | 317.26$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.6 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…14d1backed Over | 57c | 309.93$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.27 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 43c | 169$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.67 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 56c | 163.57$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.97 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Over | 57c | 114.04$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.04 | 66 | 69.7%46 W · 20 L | +10.8wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 56c | 114$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ff…879cbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 56c | 90.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 56c | 85.21$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 49c | 74.08$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe2…6829backed Under | 76c | 65.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -7.5wins | -0.29per pick | 60cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Over | 50c | 65.03$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 77c | 62.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0536…c50bbacked Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Over | 56c | 53.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 52c | 41.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e8…5e6bbacked Over | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Over | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…1cf3backed Over | 56c | 35.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Under | 55c | 31.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -37%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…0d65backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…7ab7backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Over | 65c | 22.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 55c | 19.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…2211backed Over | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- IF Elfsborg vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 2.5this page
- IF Elfsborg vs. Vasteraas SK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- IF Elfsborg vs. Vasteraas SK: IF Elfsborg O/U 1.5Over won
- IF Elfsborg vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 0.5Over won
- IF Elfsborg vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- IF Elfsborg vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 3.5Under won
- IF Elfsborg vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 4.5Under won
- IF Elfsborg vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 5.5Under won
- IF Elfsborg vs. Vasteraas SK: Vasteraas SK O/U 0.5Under won
- IF Elfsborg vs. Vasteraas SK: Vasteraas SK O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: IF Elfsborg (-1.5)IF Elfsborg won
- Spread: IF Elfsborg (-2.5)IF Elfsborg won
- Spread: Vasteraas SK (-1.5)IF Elfsborg won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.