Asian League · resolved market
NEOM SC vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x249bb3bf6d8e0a0b714ceefc5083843dbbd7371f38aad648d84aba84b8fcf4b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 23c | 5,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 117 | 31.6%37 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 56c | 3,497$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.7 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 2,079$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.09 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 76c | 2,007$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.43 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 70c | 1,225$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.43 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 75c | 944.98$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.62 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 50c | 858$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.03 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 642.03$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.21 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 52c | 615.48$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.1 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Over | 51c | 291.19$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.68 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Under | 49c | 217.65$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.65 | 138 | 49.3%68 W · 70 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 50c | 206.94$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.47 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 46c | 194.76$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.87 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 51c | 158.71$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.77 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ff…879cbacked Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 49c | 98.49$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Under | 50c | 88.64$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Under | 43c | 75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 75c | 66.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 138 | 55.8%77 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 25c | 45.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Over | 50c | 42.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 45c | 37.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…a02dbacked Over | 48c | 30.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…6a4dbacked Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NEOM SC vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- NEOM SC vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: NEOM SC 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: NEOM SC O/U 1.5Over won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: NEOM SC O/U 2.5Under won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: NEOM SC (-1.5)Al Fayha Saudi Club won
- Spread: NEOM SC (-2.5)Al Fayha Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.