Asian League · resolved market
Spread: NEOM SC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba4098200d915f2189fb262f42246e00f25957121d7a27ea15568f4f6bfc494d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Al Fayha Saudi Clubof NEOM SC, Al Fayha Saudi Club
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,286
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,342
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,286 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf3f…7103backed Al Fayha Saudi Club | 70c | 6,311$4,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,893.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed NEOM SC | 30c | 2,939$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.55 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed NEOM SC | 30c | 2,000$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.8 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Al Fayha Saudi Club | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 117 | 31.6%37 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed NEOM SC | 30c | 849.97$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.99 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed NEOM SC | 30c | 610.67$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.2 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Al Fayha Saudi Club | 68c | 506$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.15 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed NEOM SC | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed NEOM SC | 78c | 466.91$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.19 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Al Fayha Saudi Club | 70c | 335.08$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.59 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked NEOM SC | 30c | 333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed NEOM SC | 30c | 330.93$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.28 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked NEOM SC | 30c | 132$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NEOM SC | 28c | 119$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Al Fayha Saudi Club | 70c | 97.29$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +15.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Al Fayha Saudi Club | 52c | 78.34$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Al Fayha Saudi Club | 70c | 44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked NEOM SC | 78c | 43.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Al Fayha Saudi Club | 70c | 34.26$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Al Fayha Saudi Club | 40c | 30.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Al Fayha Saudi Club | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: NEOM SC (-1.5)this page
- NEOM SC vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: NEOM SC 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: NEOM SC O/U 1.5Over won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: NEOM SC O/U 2.5Under won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: NEOM SC (-2.5)Al Fayha Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.