Other European Leagues · resolved market
Rosenborg BK vs. Viking FK: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9516d2aedf64b2efdbf4060905b3143528bafbbc30ac159832ae979d0573d37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,484
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 17c | 9,511$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.83 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 39c | 6,204$2,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,429.49 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 34c | 4,311$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.35 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 15c | 2,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 15c | 1,219$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.95 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 3c | 899.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 73c | 831.14$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.83 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 60c | 712.58$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.15 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Over | 71c | 554$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.34 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 66c | 475.4$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.71 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Over | 75c | 451.51$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.07 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Under | 19c | 356.84$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.04 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 25c | 335.68$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.22 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 18c | 327.54$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.66 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 17c | 304.6$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.63 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 21c | 171.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 197 | 29.9%59 W · 138 L | -21.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x35f9…12a6backed Under | 48c | 135$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…6562backed Over | 51c | 106.94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.94 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 16c | 100.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Under | 50c | 96.64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec1e…0d9cbacked Under | 27c | 96.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 15c | 88.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ff…879cbacked Under | 36c | 77.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 67c | 77.61$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 16c | 70.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55a3…fd93backed Under | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Over | 79c | 65.44$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 35c | 57.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Over | 77c | 53.7$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 31c | 47.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 66c | 42.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 66c | 42.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 78c | 40.72$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +9.1wins | +0.28per pick | 48cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 76c | 39.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 55c | 36.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Under | 35c | 31.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x468b…68a5backed Over | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 73c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rosenborg BK vs. Viking FK: O/U 1.5this page
- Rosenborg BK vs. Viking FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Viking FK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Viking FK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Viking FK: O/U 0.5Over won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Viking FK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Viking FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Viking FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Viking FK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Viking FK: Rosenborg BK O/U 1.5Over won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Viking FK: Viking FK O/U 1.5Under won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Viking FK: Viking FK O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Rosenborg BK (-1.5)Viking FK won
- Spread: Rosenborg BK (-2.5)Viking FK won
- Spread: Viking FK (-1.5)Rosenborg BK won
- Spread: Viking FK (-2.5)Rosenborg BK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.