Other European Leagues · resolved market
Rosenborg BK vs. Viking FK: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ac92948e9cfa053a13d27ff05b6955c0c06056cd9f218071aac1230031b2559
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,506
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,542
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,506 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 75c | 2,800$2,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.76 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 6c | 1,544$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.14 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 25c | 1,101$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.06 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 26c | 600$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 26c | 600$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 75c | 520.57$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.34 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 23c | 421.25$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.13 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 25c | 398.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.59 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 23c | 393.23$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.44 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 26c | 173.79$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 78c | 128$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Under | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 78c | 42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 74 | 70.3%52 W · 22 L | +14.0wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 74c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 75c | 15.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Under | 75c | 14.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rosenborg BK vs. Viking FK: O/U 4.5this page
- Rosenborg BK vs. Viking FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Viking FK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Viking FK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Viking FK: O/U 0.5Over won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Viking FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Viking FK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Viking FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Viking FK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Viking FK: Rosenborg BK O/U 1.5Over won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Viking FK: Viking FK O/U 1.5Under won
- Rosenborg BK vs. Viking FK: Viking FK O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Rosenborg BK (-1.5)Viking FK won
- Spread: Rosenborg BK (-2.5)Viking FK won
- Spread: Viking FK (-1.5)Rosenborg BK won
- Spread: Viking FK (-2.5)Rosenborg BK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.