South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-07-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fe95bb75256b21af2a9f6bfc2476c80f5b3988e3e47b2ae29c41ac4ca27e762
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,323
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,323 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf49c…9786backed No | 29c | 4,050$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 10c | 1,291$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.73 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes | 71c | 1,268$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.61 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 70c | 1,108$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.25 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 71c | 709.27$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.74 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 5c | 660.59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed No | 8c | 651.37$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.44 | 88 | 18.2%16 W · 72 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ff…879cbacked No | 30c | 621.75$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked No | 15c | 478.54$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.58 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 5c | 462.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 31c | 454.77$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.98 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 70c | 412.74$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.25 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…2b2fbacked No | 30c | 345.16$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.55 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 69c | 308.83$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.74 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5af8…db25backed Yes | 71c | 278.87$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.87 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked Yes | 71c | 274.65$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.65 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…80b5backed No | 5c | 271$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 73c | 264.99$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.55 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…f431backed No | 14c | 226.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 69c | 222.37$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.93 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 28c | 207.03$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.04 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 16c | 184.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Yes | 70c | 142.9$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.55 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…1eebbacked Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88c1…017ebacked Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Yes | 69c | 125.25$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes | 70c | 106.86$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 70c | 99.97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 79 | 73.4%58 W · 21 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Yes | 73c | 89.04$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Yes | 71c | 69$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 71c | 67.06$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 69c | 66.73$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 31c | 66.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 30c | 54.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3247…9488backed Yes | 70c | 54.29$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 71c | 50.7$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked No | 30c | 47.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Yes | 70c | 46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Yes | 70c | 39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Yes | 70c | 39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b13…2f02backed Yes | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 70c | 35.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 70c | 35.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Yes | 70c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…f6c9backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd6…1b08backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…df76backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x321d…bd26backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed Yes | 76c | 24.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf1…7cb7backed Yes | 70c | 21.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 78c | 19.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…9bc4backed Yes | 69c | 19.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 71c | 19.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Yes | 70c | 17.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Yes | 70c | 16.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Yes | 70c | 16.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 70c | 16.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…ed2abacked Yes | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-07-23?this page
- Will Caracas FC win on 2026-07-23?No won
- Will Independiente Santa Fe vs. Caracas FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.