Europa Conference League · resolved market
KF Víkingur vs. FC Thun: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc895c39e103e6439878cab06ae9102aecb3db7c088b5aa63dc3edf6b53d187d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,923
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,923 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 72c | 4,184$3,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.59 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 31c | 3,979$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.52 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 72c | 3,679$2,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.45 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f7…7656backed Over | 55c | 1,533$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 26c | 1,218$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.22 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef57…827dbacked Over | 24c | 945$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.8 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 62c | 806.53$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 63c | 798.37$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x905a…dff1backed Under | 79c | 734.24$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.24 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 517.37$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.02 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over | 53c | 488.72$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.44 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 34c | 457.25$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.45 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 45c | 444.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.21 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4d…be6fbacked Under | 46c | 439.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 12c | 276$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 187 | 32.1%60 W · 127 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x340b…3efbbacked Over | 13c | 163.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 65.4%53 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 62c | 129.97$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.58 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 39c | 126.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…317abacked Over | 64c | 121.01$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Under | 49c | 112.24$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 40c | 78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Under | 29c | 70$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Under | 61c | 65.74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Under | 63c | 57.73$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 56c | 55.68$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad7…6117backed Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…91cbbacked Over | 27c | 43.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 30c | 42.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ff…879cbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d23…53d3backed Over | 46c | 37.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 70c | 35.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -6.8wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95b4…7c3fbacked Over | 67c | 30.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453d…2dbabacked Over | 55c | 23.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- KF Víkingur vs. FC Thun: O/U 5.5this page
- KF Víkingur vs. FC Thun: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- KF Víkingur vs. FC Thun: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- KF Víkingur vs. FC Thun: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- KF Víkingur vs. FC Thun: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- KF Víkingur vs. FC Thun: FC Thun O/U 2.5Under won
- KF Víkingur vs. FC Thun: O/U 0.5Over won
- KF Víkingur vs. FC Thun: O/U 1.5Over won
- KF Víkingur vs. FC Thun: O/U 2.5Over won
- KF Víkingur vs. FC Thun: O/U 3.5Over won
- KF Víkingur vs. FC Thun: O/U 4.5Over won
- KF Víkingur vs. FC Thun: Team to AdvanceFC Thun won
- Spread: FC Thun (-1.5)KF Víkingur won
- Spread: KF Víkingur (-1.5)FC Thun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.