TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Spread: MH Maccabi Tel Aviv (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
MH Maccabi Tel Avivof MH Maccabi Tel Aviv, PFK CSKA Sofia
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,968
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,086

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,968 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked PFK CSKA Sofia19c4,268$811 inLost-$810.992,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed PFK CSKA Sofia75c1,369$1,022 inLost-$1,022.392,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed MH Maccabi Tel Aviv15c455$68 inWon+$386.7517233.7%58 W · 114 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed MH Maccabi Tel Aviv36c407.23$146 inWon+$260.91,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed PFK CSKA Sofia20c350$70 inLost-$7079532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed PFK CSKA Sofia20c275$56 inLost-$5681440.5%330 W · 484 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed PFK CSKA Sofia42c250.16$104 inLost-$104.113,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed PFK CSKA Sofia20c194.35$39 inLost-$38.872,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87f8…f61dbacked MH Maccabi Tel Aviv15c121.13$18 inWon+$102.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+566.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9991…b2cebacked MH Maccabi Tel Aviv36c55.61$20 inWon+$35.591573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.25per pick49cpaid+73.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed PFK CSKA Sofia67c40.24$27 inLost-$26.9632436.4%118 W · 206 L-20.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked MH Maccabi Tel Aviv35c32.97$12 inWon+$21.436858.8%40 W · 28 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x153a…af29backed PFK CSKA Sofia70c28.5$20 inLost-$19.952871.4%20 W · 8 L+4.7wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+35.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked PFK CSKA Sofia64c18$12 inLost-$11.5253564.7%346 W · 189 L+29.1wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.