Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Sheriff Tiraspol win on 2026-07-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd1c9633f07771b1f59b7c2bdb97608a554d24952734ba66598a833974ca5056
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,763
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,763 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 30c | 2,055$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.26 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 73c | 1,972$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.02 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Yes | 2c | 1,589$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed Yes | 14c | 1,555$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.75 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 25c | 1,500$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 73c | 1,385$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.32 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 28c | 1,054$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 73c | 903.99$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.28 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 73c | 844.57$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.83 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0d…5de2backed Yes | 27c | 744.44$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 72c | 575.99$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.97 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 29c | 568$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.72 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 72c | 565.98$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.97 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d3…6b98backed No | 70c | 443.99$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked No | 75c | 305$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.25 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed No | 76c | 299.22$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.04 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 29c | 279.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 71c | 250$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.51 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 73c | 239.99$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 71c | 198$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.42 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Yes | 26c | 181$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes | 27c | 163.15$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.05 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 71c | 149$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.77 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 71c | 140.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.84 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…5478backed Yes | 27c | 139.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Yes | 26c | 135$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 26c | 127$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 26c | 110.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…0acebacked Yes | 31c | 77.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Yes | 29c | 66.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 71c | 64.41$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Yes | 23c | 64.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed No | 72c | 63.49$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 28c | 50.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 48.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Yes | 25c | 45.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 26c | 41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb82…4bf9backed Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed No | 71c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 71c | 31.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 73c | 24.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…7ab7backed No | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…292bbacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 44 | 79.5%35 W · 9 L | +8.0wins | +0.18per pick | 61cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 71c | 18.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Sheriff Tiraspol win on 2026-07-23?this page
- Will FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv end in a draw?No won
- Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2026-07-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.