Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c76a448a968f53ac301b42f11a90ed7ebc3d1da99f628ec144263d5cb1116cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,705
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,705 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x225b…9a83backed Yes | 13c | 2,556$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.68 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 73c | 928.21$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.64 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 72c | 914.28$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 26c | 875.88$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.73 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 814.8$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.52 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf81a…719abacked Yes | 6c | 409.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Yes | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 18c | 399.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…5e8bbacked Yes | 29c | 350$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…a8abbacked No | 72c | 347.96$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.43 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 28c | 296.98$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.15 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 12c | 177.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 26c | 172.02$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.45 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked No | 72c | 149.66$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.9 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 29c | 140$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed No | 72c | 138.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…a486backed No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 26c | 124$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 80c | 100.69$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…a334backed No | 72c | 96.66$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 28c | 96.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 80c | 87.07$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Yes | 26c | 71.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaffd…7158backed Yes | 29c | 69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed No | 40c | 68.81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.29 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab5…95fabacked No | 72c | 62.46$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 71c | 36.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 71c | 23.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…ce88backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Sheriff Tiraspol win on 2026-07-23?No won
- Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2026-07-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.