Tennis · resolved market
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Jesper de Jong vs Gabriel Diallo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x981459a344698fe39cc16017bd3ba9b78626b4cafc42e8e83ce029923c355872
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dialloof Jong, Diallo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,803
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,803 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf353…b287backed Jong | 1c | 8,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 83 | 13.3%11 W · 72 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe788…1938backed Diallo | 68c | 1,542$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…280dbacked Jong | 32c | 1,540$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Jong | 22c | 1,293$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Diallo | 71c | 1,009$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.25 | 655 | 58.9%386 W · 269 L | -32.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…57d4backed Jong | 21c | 952.33$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Jong | 31c | 746.2$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.86 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Diallo | 80c | 699.7$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.04 | 278 | 36.3%101 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jong | 19c | 669.84$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.05 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7e…79e5backed Jong | 33c | 606.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Diallo | 80c | 525.22$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.37 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Jong | 33c | 499.93$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.98 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Jong | 8c | 466.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Jong | 20c | 450.54$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.18 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Jong | 16c | 440.16$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.16 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Diallo | 69c | 432.59$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.59 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Jong | 34c | 324$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.16 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ad…6b4cbacked Diallo | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Diallo | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Jong | 18c | 247.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Jong | 25c | 243.66$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.85 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Jong | 30c | 218$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.36 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Diallo | 73c | 210.27$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.19 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Jong | 13c | 210.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…baa4backed Jong | 18c | 194.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Diallo | 79c | 186.62$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.72 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Jong | 10c | 155.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Jong | 29c | 137.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.63 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Jong | 18c | 134.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4f…3ae6backed Jong | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Jong | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 174 | 32.2%56 W · 118 L | -15.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Jong | 18c | 96.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jong | 29c | 94.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b7…8b0cbacked Jong | 19c | 91.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca8…db1fbacked Diallo | 67c | 74.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jong | 19c | 73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb71d…0d44backed Jong | 22c | 70.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Jong | 20c | 65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c36…2209backed Jong | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c60…2227backed Jong | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 105 | 32.4%34 W · 71 L | -10.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Diallo | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc42…01b2backed Diallo | 69c | 33.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6467…7cadbacked Diallo | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 69cpaid | +35%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef5e…4c1dbacked Diallo | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc669…53eabacked Diallo | 79c | 26.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Diallo | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…19bebacked Diallo | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.