Premier League · resolved market
Will Oxford United FC win on 2025-11-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf74b57ca4dd15d3c32cfb7aed128ed3f6064a5b7b1aa1ec2cd3445c21ebf4757
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,121
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,635
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,121 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 31c | 3,386$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.16 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 76c | 2,348$1,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.13 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 36c | 2,077$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.15 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 75c | 1,611$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.5 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 67c | 1,464$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.51 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 16c | 697$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.48 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 636.68$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.68 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed No | 32c | 619.99$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.4 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 39c | 595.32$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.06 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed Yes | 16c | 561.66$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.79 | 239 | 20.9%50 W · 189 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 16c | 549.3$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.41 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 76c | 275$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.65 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Yes | 79c | 221.91$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 108 | 74.1%80 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 17c | 150$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.5 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5f…25fcbacked Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d1…9daebacked Yes | 15c | 136.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.39 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x752f…2539backed Yes | 12c | 124.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +743.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 16c | 124.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.37 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…f95abacked Yes | 77c | 115.03$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 39c | 111.69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc72b…3756backed No | 73c | 88$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.24 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed No | 33c | 78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 217 | 47.9%104 W · 113 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 16c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6b…12e7backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3149…9762backed Yes | 68c | 55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Yes | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc633…b4e7backed Yes | 44c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd783…9101backed Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Yes | 73c | 19.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Oxford United FC win on 2025-11-28?this page
- Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2025-11-28?No won
- Will Oxford United FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.